Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros v Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-09-06 18:10 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros (Local)

Prediction 50.21%1.99fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.812%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.25%50.26%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.891.901.9655.25%52.78%52.63%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)

Prediction 49.79%2.01fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%49.75%49.74%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.921.911.9654.05%52.10%52.36%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Houston Astros (Local): 50.21%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 49.79%. For Houston Astros (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.99. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.96, with an expected value of -1.59%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.59%E -0.812%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.41%E -1.23%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.09%E -1.07%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-05 23:03
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.60%E -1.34%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.41%E -1.23%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-05 23:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.60%E -1.34%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.41%E -1.23%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-05 23:25
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.60%E -1.34%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.41%E -1.23%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-05 23:25
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.60%E -1.34%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.41%E -1.23%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-05 23:20
BetUS🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.60%E -1.34%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.41%E -1.23%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-05 23:40
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.40%E -1.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-05 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 00:08
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:44
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.60%E -2.42%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.60%E -2.42%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.84%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.60%E -2.42%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.84%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.60%E -2.42%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.84%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.60%E -2.42%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.84%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.60%E -2.42%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.84%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.60%E -2.42%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.84%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.60%E -2.42%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.84%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:25
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.11%E -2.70%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.11%E -2.70%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.11%E -2.70%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 01:00
Betsson🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.11%E -2.70%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 01:04
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.40%E -1.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 01:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.40%E -1.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 01:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.40%E -1.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 01:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.40%E -1.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 01:20
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:20
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:20
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.40%E -2.29%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.40%E -2.29%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.11%E -3.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.91%E -1.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:05
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.11%E -3.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.91%E -1.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 01:15
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.11%E -3.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:03
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.11%E -3.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:05
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.11%E -3.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.11%E -3.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.40%E -2.84%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-05 23:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.61%E -3.55%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 01:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.61%E -3.55%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 01:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.40%EV -7.62%E -4.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60%EV -6.89%E -3.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 00:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -8.62%E -4.74%K -10.51%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.46%EV -7.39%E -3.97%K -8.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55%EV -9.12%E -5.04%K -11.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 01:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-09-06 00:45
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-09-05 23:05
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.98%1.6%2026-09-06 01:20
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-09-06 01:25
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%2.6%2026-09-05 23:25
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 50.41%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.59%9.6%2026-09-06 01:25