Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros v Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-09-06 18:10 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Predicción 50.24%1.99momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -0.783%
Kelly -1.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%50.26%50.26%51.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.811.891.901.9655.25%52.80%52.63%51.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Predicción 49.76%2.01momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -2.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.95%49.74%49.74%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.851.921.911.9654.05%52.10%52.36%51.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Houston Astros (Local): 50.24%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante): 49.76%. Para Houston Astros (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.99. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.96, con un valor esperado de -1.53%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.53%E -0.783%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.04%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-05 23:03
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.54%E -1.31%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-05 23:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.54%E -1.31%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-05 23:25
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.54%E -1.31%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-05 23:25
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.54%E -1.31%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-05 23:20
BetUS🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.54%E -1.31%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-05 23:40
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.46%E -1.78%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-05 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.96%E -2.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 00:08
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:44
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:25
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.05%E -2.67%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.96%E -2.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.05%E -2.67%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.96%E -2.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.05%E -2.67%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 01:00
Betsson🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.05%E -2.67%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 01:04
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.46%E -1.78%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 01:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.46%E -1.78%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 01:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.46%E -1.78%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 01:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.46%E -1.78%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 01:20
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.96%E -2.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.96%E -2.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:20
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.96%E -2.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:20
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.96%E -2.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.96%E -2.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.46%E -2.32%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.46%E -2.32%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.46%E -2.32%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 01:50
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:05
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 01:15
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:03
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:05
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:04
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 01:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-05 23:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.56%E -3.53%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 01:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.56%E -3.53%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 01:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.40%EV -7.56%E -4.11%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60%EV -6.94%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 00:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -8.57%E -4.71%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.46%EV -7.44%E -4.00%K -8.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55%EV -9.07%E -5.01%K -11.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%EV -7.94%E -4.29%K -9.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 01:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-06 01:50
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-09-05 23:05
ProphetX1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.3%2026-09-06 01:35
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%2.6%2026-09-05 23:25
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23%2.6%2026-09-06 02:05
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 50.27%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.73%9.3%2026-09-06 02:25