Language:English
Houston Astros v Arizona Diamondbacks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Houston Astros (Local)
Prediction 55.01%1.82fair odd
EV -0.973%
Edge -0.541%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.96%55.02%55.04%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.741.731.8059.88%57.56%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)
Prediction 44.99%2.22fair odd
EV -0.583%
Edge -0.264%
Kelly -0.481%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%44.98%44.96%46.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.122.2150.00%47.09%47.17%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 55.01%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 44.99%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.21, with an expected value of -0.583%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -0.973%E -0.541%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 00:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -0.973%E -0.541%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -5.08%E -2.41%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.52%E -0.851%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.07%E -1.17%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.48%E -0.677%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.07%E -1.17%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.93%E -0.886%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 03:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.62%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.03%E -0.469%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-04 11:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.62%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 02:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.62%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -3.17%E -1.80%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.583%E -0.264%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.17%E -1.80%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.48%E -0.677%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.17%E -1.80%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.48%E -0.677%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 11:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.17%E -1.80%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-04 13:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.17%E -1.80%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 02:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.72%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 02:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.72%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.72%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 10:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.72%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.72%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 10:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.72%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 00:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.27%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.27%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 10:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.27%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.27%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.18%E -1.96%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.27%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 10:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.27%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 10:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.27%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 10:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.27%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 10:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.27%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 10:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.27%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.27%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 02:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.27%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 11:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 02:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 02:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 02:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 18:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 02:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 02:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 02:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 02:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 05:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 08:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 11:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 11:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 02:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 05:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -5.98%E -2.86%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 02:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.92%E -3.46%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.92%E -3.46%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 11:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.92%E -3.46%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 12:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.92%E -3.46%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 10:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.92%E -3.46%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.92%E -3.46%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.78%E -3.80%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -7.58%E -4.51%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -8.23%E -4.03%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 10:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.58%E -4.51%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-04 02:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 21:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 0.1% | 2026-09-04 10:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.4% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |