Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros v Arizona Diamondbacks

Início: 2026-09-05 00:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 3–1 Arizona Diamondbacks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Previsão 55.01%1.82odd justa
EV -0.973%
Vantagem -0.541%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.96%55.02%55.04%56.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.741.731.8059.88%57.56%57.80%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Previsão 44.99%2.22odd justa
EV -0.583%
Vantagem -0.264%
Kelly -0.481%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.72%44.98%44.96%46.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.122.122.2150.00%47.09%47.17%45.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Houston Astros (Local): 55.01%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante): 44.99%. Para Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.22. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.21, com valor esperado de -0.583%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -0.973%E -0.541%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-04 00:24
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -0.973%E -0.541%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -5.08%E -2.41%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 14:29
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.52%E -0.851%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-04 14:15
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.07%E -1.17%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.48%E -0.677%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-04 12:10
Everygame🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.07%E -1.17%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.93%E -0.886%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-04 03:10
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.62%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.03%E -0.469%K -0.860%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-04 11:34
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.62%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 02:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.62%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 18:30
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -3.17%E -1.80%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.583%E -0.264%K -0.481%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-04 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.17%E -1.80%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.48%E -0.677%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-04 11:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.17%E -1.80%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.48%E -0.677%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-04 11:29
theScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.17%E -1.80%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 13:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.17%E -1.80%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 02:39
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.72%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-04 02:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.72%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 10:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.72%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 10:09
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.72%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 10:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.72%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 10:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.72%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 00:15
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.27%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 21:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.27%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 10:05
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.27%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 10:45
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.27%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.18%E -1.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.27%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.27%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 10:09
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.27%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 10:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.27%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 10:05
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.27%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 10:09
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.27%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 10:10
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.27%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 02:25
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.27%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 11:30
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 11:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 02:25
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 02:25
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 02:25
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 18:35
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 02:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 18:35
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 02:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 11:30
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 11:30
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 02:24
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 10:10
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 02:24
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 05:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 08:49
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 11:20
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 11:20
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 11:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 02:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 05:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -5.98%E -2.86%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 02:25
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.92%E -3.46%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 14:35
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.92%E -3.46%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 11:29
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.92%E -3.46%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 12:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.92%E -3.46%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 10:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.92%E -3.46%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 10:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.92%E -3.46%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.78%E -3.80%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 12:20
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -7.58%E -4.51%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -8.23%E -4.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 10:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.58%E -4.51%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 02:25
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 21:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-09-04 10:35
Novig◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-09-04 11:50
BetOpenly◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-09-04 14:35
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-04 09:20
Matchbook◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Smarkets◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-09-04 14:35
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-09-04 10:45