Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers v Washington Nationals

2026-09-23 17:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prediction 62.44%1.60fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.851%
Kelly -2.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.30%62.38%62.50%63.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.521.531.5868.49%65.62%65.36%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Nationals (Visit)

Prediction 37.56%2.66fair odd
EV -0.842%
Edge -0.319%
Kelly -0.513%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.70%37.62%37.50%39.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.522.552.6442.55%39.64%39.22%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Detroit Tigers (Local): 62.44%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 37.56%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.64, with an expected value of -0.842%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.34%E -0.851%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.86%E -4.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.34%E -0.851%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.86%E -4.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 22:00
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -2.59%E -1.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -0.842%E -0.319%K -0.513%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-22 22:49
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.59%E -1.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-22 22:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.59%E -1.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-22 21:00
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.59%E -1.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.98%E -3.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-22 21:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.22%E -2.08%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-22 22:00
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.22%E -2.08%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-22 22:00
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.22%E -2.08%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 01:34
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.84%E -2.49%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-22 22:00
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.84%E -2.49%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.85%E -2.76%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 22:05
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.84%E -2.49%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.85%E -2.76%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 22:05
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.34%E -0.902%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-22 21:00
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.34%E -0.902%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-22 21:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.10%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-23 02:00
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 00:05
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 00:05
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 00:05
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 00:03
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 00:05
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-22 22:10
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 01:14
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.09%E -3.35%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.10%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-22 21:00
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.09%E -3.35%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.10%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-22 21:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.09%E -3.35%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 21:00
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.09%E -3.35%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 22:10
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.09%E -3.35%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 23:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.09%E -3.35%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-22 21:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.09%E -3.35%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-23 02:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -5.72%E -3.78%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -3.85%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 22:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.72%E -3.78%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-22 21:00
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.72%E -3.78%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 00:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.72%E -3.78%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-22 22:39
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.34%E -4.23%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-22 21:00
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.34%E -4.23%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-22 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.34%E -4.23%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-22 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.34%E -4.23%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-22 21:00
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.34%E -4.23%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-22 20:58
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.34%E -4.23%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-22 21:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.34%E -4.23%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-23 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.34%E -4.23%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-23 00:05
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -6.96%E -4.67%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -3.47%E -1.35%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-22 21:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -7.59%E -5.13%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -7.98%E -3.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-22 21:00
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.21%E -5.59%K -17.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.98%E -3.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-23 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.68%EV -8.84%E -6.05%K -19.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-22 20:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-22 22:55
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-22 22:40
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-09-23 00:00
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 61.66%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%9.6%2026-09-23 01:05