Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers v Washington Nationals

2026-09-23 17:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Predicción 61.72%1.62momio equitativo
EV -1.24%
Ventaja -0.775%
Kelly -2.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.30%61.77%61.58%63.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.531.531.6068.97%65.19%65.36%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Predicción 38.28%2.61momio equitativo
EV -0.485%
Ventaja -0.186%
Kelly -0.303%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.71%38.23%38.42%39.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.502.502.6043.48%39.95%40.00%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Detroit Tigers (Local): 61.72%; Washington Nationals (Visitante): 38.28%. Para Washington Nationals (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.61. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.60, con un valor esperado de -0.485%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -1.24%E -0.775%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.16%E -1.25%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-23 02:30
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -2.47%E -1.57%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -3.16%E -1.25%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-23 02:35
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.47%E -1.57%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -4.31%E -1.72%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-23 02:21
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.47%E -1.57%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.14%E -3.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 02:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.47%E -1.57%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.14%E -3.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 02:25
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.09%E -1.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.14%E -3.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 02:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.71%E -2.38%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.55%E -1.41%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-23 02:35
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.71%E -2.38%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.31%E -1.72%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-23 02:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.71%E -2.38%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.31%E -1.72%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-22 21:00
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.71%E -2.38%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.31%E -1.72%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-23 02:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.71%E -2.38%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.31%E -1.72%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-23 02:30
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -3.71%E -2.38%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -5.46%E -2.21%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 02:25
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.71%E -2.38%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.23%E -2.54%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-22 21:44
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.71%E -2.38%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -7.37%E -3.05%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 02:30
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.71%E -2.38%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -7.37%E -3.05%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 02:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.33%E -2.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.31%E -1.72%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 02:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.33%E -2.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.31%E -1.72%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 02:30
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.33%E -2.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.31%E -1.72%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 02:30
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.33%E -2.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.31%E -1.72%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 02:30
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.33%E -2.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.23%E -2.54%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 02:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.33%E -2.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.23%E -2.54%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 02:26
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.94%E -3.21%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.78%E -1.09%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 02:30
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.94%E -3.21%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.31%E -1.72%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-23 02:35
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.94%E -3.21%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.31%E -1.72%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-23 02:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.94%E -3.21%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.23%E -2.54%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-23 02:30
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.56%E -3.63%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.55%E -1.41%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 02:35
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.56%E -3.63%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.31%E -1.72%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 02:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.56%E -3.63%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.31%E -1.72%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 02:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.56%E -3.63%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.31%E -1.72%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 02:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.56%E -3.63%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.31%E -1.72%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 02:35
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.56%E -3.63%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.31%E -1.72%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 02:29
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.56%E -3.63%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.31%E -1.72%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 01:14
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.56%E -3.63%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.23%E -2.54%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-23 02:20
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.56%E -3.63%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.23%E -2.54%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-23 02:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.56%E -3.63%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.23%E -2.54%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-23 02:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.18%E -4.06%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.31%E -1.72%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-23 02:00
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.80%E -4.50%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.485%E -0.186%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 02:20
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.80%E -4.50%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.485%E -0.186%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 02:20
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.80%E -4.50%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.485%E -0.186%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 02:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.80%E -4.50%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.485%E -0.186%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 02:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.80%E -4.50%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.485%E -0.186%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 02:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.80%E -4.50%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.485%E -0.186%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 02:20
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.80%E -4.50%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.485%E -0.186%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 02:20
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.80%E -4.50%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.485%E -0.186%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 02:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.80%E -4.50%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.485%E -0.186%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 02:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.80%E -4.50%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.485%E -0.186%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 02:20
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -6.80%E -4.50%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.56%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-23 02:30
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.41%E -4.94%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.40%E -0.941%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-22 21:00
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.41%E -4.94%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.40%E -0.941%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-23 02:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.41%E -4.94%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.05%E -4.28%K -7.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-23 02:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.03%E -5.39%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -2.40%E -0.941%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-23 02:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.03%E -5.39%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -2.40%E -0.941%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-23 02:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -8.65%E -5.84%K -18.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -11.97%E -5.20%K -9.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-23 02:29
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -10.50%E -7.24%K -23.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -4.31%E -1.72%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-23 02:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-09-23 02:20
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-22 22:55
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-22 22:40
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-23 02:15
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%3.1%2026-09-23 02:30
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%8.2%2026-09-23 02:35