Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.97
assuming max odds 2.02
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Tigers (Local): 51.18%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 48.82%. For Detroit Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.97, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.825%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV +0.825%E +0.419%K +0.851%G +0.007% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.198%E -0.102%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.198%E -0.102%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-16 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.710%E -0.366%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.31%E -2.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.710%E -0.366%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.31%E -2.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-16 17:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.22%E -0.633%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.85%E -1.43%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.73%E -0.903%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.85%E -1.43%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-16 17:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.73%E -0.903%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.85%E -1.43%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-16 15:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.25%E -1.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.54%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.25%E -1.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.54%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.27%E -3.26%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 15:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.78%E -2.01%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.78%E -2.01%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.78%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.78%E -2.01%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.27%E -3.26%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 17:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.29%E -2.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -1.38%E -0.685%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.29%E -2.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.29%E -2.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.34%E -1.69%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.29%E -2.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.29%E -2.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 17:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.29%E -2.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 14:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.29%E -2.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 15:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.29%E -2.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 15:08 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.29%E -2.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.29%E -2.73%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.29%E -2.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.29%E -2.73%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.29%E -2.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.75%E -3.54%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.29%E -2.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.80%E -2.58%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.34%E -1.69%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.32%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.32%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.32%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.31%E -2.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.32%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.31%E -2.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 15:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.32%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.75%E -3.54%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.32%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.75%E -3.54%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.32%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.75%E -3.54%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.83%E -3.17%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.83%E -3.17%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.31%E -2.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.31%E -2.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.31%E -2.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.75%E -3.54%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.85%E -3.76%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.29%E -2.73%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -7.36%E -4.07%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.36%E -4.07%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.78%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.88%E -4.38%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 14:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.88%E -4.38%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 16:58 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00% | 0.0% | 2026-05-16 17:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75% | 1.5% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38% | 1.8% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91% | 3.9% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |