La escuela de los momios

Detroit Tigers v Toronto Blue Jays

Inicio: 2026-05-16 17:11 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 1–2 Toronto Blue Jays

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Predicción 51.18%1.95momio equitativo
EV +0.825%
Ventaja +0.419%
Kelly +0.851%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.74%51.05%51.18%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.861.851.9755.56%53.68%54.05%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Predicción 48.82%2.05momio equitativo
EV -1.38%
Ventaja -0.685%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%48.95%48.82%50.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.901.951.952.0252.63%51.18%51.28%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV +0.825%E +0.419%K +0.851%G +0.007%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 17:00
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.198%E -0.102%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-16 17:10
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.198%E -0.102%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-16 16:10
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.710%E -0.366%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.31%E -2.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-16 17:10
GTbets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.710%E -0.366%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.31%E -2.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-16 17:09
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.22%E -0.633%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.85%E -1.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 16:45
BetAnything1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.73%E -0.903%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.85%E -1.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-16 17:09
BetUS1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.73%E -0.903%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.85%E -1.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-16 15:25
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.25%E -1.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.54%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 17:10
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.25%E -1.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.54%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 17:10
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 17:10
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.27%E -3.26%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 15:00
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.78%E -2.01%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 16:29
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.78%E -2.01%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.78%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 16:50
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.78%E -2.01%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.27%E -3.26%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 17:09
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.29%E -2.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -1.38%E -0.685%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 16:45
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.29%E -2.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 15:30
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.29%E -2.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.34%E -1.69%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 15:30
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.29%E -2.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 15:30
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.29%E -2.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 17:09
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.29%E -2.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 14:30
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.29%E -2.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 15:00
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.29%E -2.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 15:08
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.29%E -2.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.29%E -2.73%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.29%E -2.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.29%E -2.73%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 15:30
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.29%E -2.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.75%E -3.54%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 17:10
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.29%E -2.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 16:30
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.80%E -2.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.34%E -1.69%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.32%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 16:45
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.32%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 16:45
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.32%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.31%E -2.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 16:55
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.32%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.31%E -2.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 15:15
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 16:55
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 15:30
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 15:29
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.32%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.75%E -3.54%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 16:50
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.32%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.75%E -3.54%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 16:50
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.32%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.75%E -3.54%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 16:50
SportsBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.83%E -3.17%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 15:30
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.83%E -3.17%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.31%E -2.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 15:30
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:45
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:45
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:45
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:45
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:45
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:45
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:45
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:45
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:45
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.31%E -2.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 16:45
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.31%E -2.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 16:45
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 17:10
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 15:30
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.75%E -3.54%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 15:00
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.85%E -3.76%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.29%E -2.73%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 15:30
DraftKings1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -7.36%E -4.07%K -9.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 17:10
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.36%E -4.07%K -9.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.78%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 16:55
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.88%E -4.38%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 14:30
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.88%E -4.38%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:58
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%0.0%2026-05-16 17:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-16 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-16 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-05-16 17:10
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-16 17:10
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-05-16 17:10
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.8%2026-05-16 17:10
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-05-16 17:10
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-05-16 16:10
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%3.9%2026-05-16 17:10