Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.14
assuming max odds 1.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Tigers (Local): 46.72%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 53.28%. For Detroit Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.1405. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.1400, with an expected value of -0.022%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -0.022%E -0.010%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-15 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -0.956%E -0.451%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -6.22%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-15 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -0.956%E -0.451%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -6.22%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-15 21:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-15 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-15 15:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-15 22:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-15 21:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 21:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 21:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 21:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 21:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 21:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 21:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 21:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 21:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.29%E -4.19%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 14:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.29%E -4.19%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.29%E -4.19%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 21:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.29%E -4.19%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.29%E -4.19%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 21:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.36%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.43%E -0.773%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-15 21:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -2.36%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-15 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -2.36%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-15 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.83%E -1.36%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-15 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.83%E -1.36%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-15 22:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.29%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.63%E -2.58%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-15 15:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.76%E -1.82%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-15 15:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 22:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 16:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 17:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 14:32 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 22:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 14:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 14:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 14:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 15:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.22%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-14 19:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 15:02 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.82%E -4.52%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 03:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.16%E -2.54%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-15 20:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.16%E -2.54%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-15 20:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.63%E -2.58%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-15 21:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-15 21:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 22:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-15 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-15 22:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-15 15:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.22%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 15:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 22:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 22:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -7.96%E -4.04%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -4.63%E -2.58%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 22:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.90%E -4.56%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 20:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.77% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.23% | -0.1% | 2026-05-15 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-15 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-15 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-15 22:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-05-15 19:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-05-15 21:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.85% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15% | 1.2% | 2026-05-15 22:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 1.2% | 2026-05-15 22:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 1.4% | 2026-05-15 22:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30% | 2.0% | 2026-05-15 22:45 |