La escuela de los momios

Detroit Tigers v Toronto Blue Jays

Inicio: 2026-05-15 22:46 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 3–2 Toronto Blue Jays

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Predicción 46.72%2.14momio equitativo
EV -0.022%
Ventaja -0.010%
Kelly -0.019%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.27%46.63%46.75%48.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.062.052.1451.28%48.54%48.78%46.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Predicción 53.28%1.88momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.773%
Kelly -1.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%53.37%53.25%54.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.781.781.8557.80%56.10%56.18%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -0.022%E -0.010%K -0.019%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-15 21:40
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -0.956%E -0.451%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -6.22%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 21:40
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -0.956%E -0.451%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -6.22%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 21:40
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-15 21:55
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-15 15:35
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-15 22:15
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-15 21:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 21:40
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 21:40
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 21:40
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 21:40
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 21:40
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 21:40
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 21:39
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 21:40
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.29%E -4.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 14:15
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.29%E -4.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 21:40
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.29%E -4.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 21:40
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.29%E -4.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 21:40
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.89%E -0.900%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.29%E -4.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 21:40
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.36%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.43%E -0.773%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-15 21:50
GTbets2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -2.36%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-15 22:40
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -2.36%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-15 22:40
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.83%E -1.36%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 22:40
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.83%E -1.36%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 22:40
MyBookie.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.29%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.63%E -2.58%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 15:04
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.76%E -1.82%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-15 15:05
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 14:40
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:40
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:45
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 16:45
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 17:04
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 14:32
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:45
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 14:30
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 14:30
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 15:10
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 14:30
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 15:09
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.22%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 19:35
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 14:55
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 14:55
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 14:55
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 15:02
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.82%E -4.52%K -10.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 03:49
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 15:05
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.16%E -2.54%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 20:50
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.16%E -2.54%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 20:49
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 22:45
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.63%E -2.58%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 21:45
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 21:49
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:44
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 16:20
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 22:44
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 15:05
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.22%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 15:05
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 22:34
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 22:39
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -7.96%E -4.04%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -4.63%E -2.58%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 22:45
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.90%E -4.56%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 20:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.14I 46.73%NM 46.77%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.23%-0.1%2026-05-15 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-05-15 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-05-15 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-05-15 22:45
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-15 19:30
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-15 21:55
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 46.85%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%1.2%2026-05-15 22:45
ProphetX2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%1.2%2026-05-15 22:45
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%1.4%2026-05-15 22:45
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.0%2026-05-15 22:45