Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers v St. Louis Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 17:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prediction 60.22%1.66fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%60.17%60.23%61.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.591.581.6365.36%63.02%63.29%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 39.78%2.51fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.711%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.90%39.83%39.77%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.402.402.4743.48%41.62%41.67%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Tigers (Local): 60.22%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 39.78%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.47, with an expected value of -1.76%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.83%E -1.12%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.15%E -0.875%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-04 14:29
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.83%E -1.12%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.15%E -0.875%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-04 17:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%EV -1.83%E -1.12%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%EV -2.95%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-04 17:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%EV -1.83%E -1.12%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%EV -2.95%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-04 17:10
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.44%E -1.50%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.76%E -0.711%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-04 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.44%E -1.50%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 17:09
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.44%E -1.50%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 17:25
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.04%E -1.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.15%E -0.875%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 15:58
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.04%E -1.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 15:34
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.04%E -1.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 17:09
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.64%E -2.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.74%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 15:54
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.64%E -2.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 15:24
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.64%E -2.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 15:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.64%E -2.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 15:59
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.64%E -2.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 16:10
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.64%E -2.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 15:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.64%E -2.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.64%E -2.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 16:00
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.64%E -2.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 16:00
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.64%E -2.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 15:59
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.64%E -2.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 15:59
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.64%E -2.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 16:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.64%E -2.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 17:09
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.24%E -2.67%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 16:55
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.24%E -2.67%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.35%E -1.38%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 15:38
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -4.24%E -2.67%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -4.14%E -1.72%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 17:08
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.24%E -2.67%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 17:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.24%E -2.67%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 15:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.84%E -3.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 16:53
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.84%E -3.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.84%E -3.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.84%E -3.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 14:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.84%E -3.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 15:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.84%E -3.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 16:00
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.84%E -3.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.73%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 15:25
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.84%E -3.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.73%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 15:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.84%E -3.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 17:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 16:54
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 15:59
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 15:59
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 15:59
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -2.95%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 16:49
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.14%E -1.72%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 15:55
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 15:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 15:59
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 16:54
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 15:59
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:25
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.05%E -3.88%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 17:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.05%E -3.88%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 16:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 14:18
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 17:08
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.86%E -5.13%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 15:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 60.71%2.55I 39.22%NM 39.29%-0.2%2026-04-04 17:09
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-04-04 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-04-04 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-04-04 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-04-04 17:10
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-04 16:29
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-04 15:50
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%2.1%2026-04-04 17:10
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%2.3%2026-04-04 17:10
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%7.2%2026-04-04 16:44