Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers v St. Louis Cardinals

Inicio: 2026-04-04 17:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Predicción 60.22%1.66momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -2.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.67%60.17%60.23%61.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.591.581.6365.36%63.02%63.29%61.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Predicción 39.78%2.51momio equitativo
EV -1.76%
Ventaja -0.711%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.90%39.83%39.77%41.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.402.402.4743.48%41.62%41.67%40.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Detroit Tigers (Local): 60.22%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 39.78%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.51. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.47, con un valor esperado de -1.76%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.83%E -1.12%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.15%E -0.875%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-04 14:29
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.83%E -1.12%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.15%E -0.875%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-04 17:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%EV -1.83%E -1.12%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%EV -2.95%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-04 17:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%EV -1.83%E -1.12%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%EV -2.95%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-04 17:10
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.44%E -1.50%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.76%E -0.711%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-04 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.44%E -1.50%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 17:09
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.44%E -1.50%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 17:25
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.04%E -1.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.15%E -0.875%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 15:58
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.04%E -1.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 15:34
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.04%E -1.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 17:09
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.64%E -2.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.74%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 15:54
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.64%E -2.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 15:24
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.64%E -2.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 15:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.64%E -2.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 15:59
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.64%E -2.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 16:10
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.64%E -2.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 15:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.64%E -2.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.64%E -2.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 16:00
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.64%E -2.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 16:00
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.64%E -2.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 15:59
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.64%E -2.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 15:59
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.64%E -2.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 16:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.64%E -2.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 17:09
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.24%E -2.67%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 16:55
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.24%E -2.67%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.35%E -1.38%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 15:38
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -4.24%E -2.67%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -4.14%E -1.72%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 17:08
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.24%E -2.67%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 17:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.24%E -2.67%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 15:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.84%E -3.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 16:53
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.84%E -3.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.84%E -3.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.84%E -3.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 14:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.84%E -3.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 15:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.84%E -3.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 16:00
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.84%E -3.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.73%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 15:25
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.84%E -3.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.73%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 15:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.84%E -3.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 17:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 16:54
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 15:59
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 15:59
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 15:59
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -2.95%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 16:49
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.14%E -1.72%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 15:55
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 15:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 15:59
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 16:54
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 15:59
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:25
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.05%E -3.88%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 17:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.05%E -3.88%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 16:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 14:18
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 17:08
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.86%E -5.13%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 15:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 60.71%2.55I 39.22%NM 39.29%-0.2%2026-04-04 17:09
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-04-04 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-04-04 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-04-04 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-04-04 17:10
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-04 16:29
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-04 15:50
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%2.1%2026-04-04 17:10
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%2.3%2026-04-04 17:10
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%7.2%2026-04-04 16:44