Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers v Seattle Mariners

Kickoff: 2026-06-06 17:11 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 0–4 Seattle Mariners

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prediction 46.19%2.16fair odd
EV -0.220%
Edge -0.102%
Kelly -0.190%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.74%46.15%46.05%47.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.072.072.1650.00%48.20%48.31%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Mariners (Visit)

Prediction 53.81%1.86fair odd
EV -0.998%
Edge -0.542%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.88%53.85%53.95%55.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.771.771.8458.82%56.53%56.50%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Tigers (Local): 46.19%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 53.81%. For Detroit Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.165. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.160, with an expected value of -0.220%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetAnything🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.220%E -0.102%K -0.190%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -4.23%E -2.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-06 17:09
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.682%E -0.317%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-06 14:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -1.14%E -0.535%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -4.23%E -2.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-06 16:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.07%E -0.975%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-06 16:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.07%E -0.975%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-06 16:39
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -0.998%E -0.542%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-06 17:09
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.54%E -0.839%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 16:39
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.54%E -0.839%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 16:57
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.23%E -2.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-06 17:09
MyBookie.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.23%E -2.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-06 15:29
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 16:09
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 14:32
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 14:59
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 16:40
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 16:39
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 16:39
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 16:39
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 16:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 16:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 15:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 16:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 16:29
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 16:29
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 16:29
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.53%E -5.02%K -12.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 11:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.45%E -1.65%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.54%E -0.839%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-06 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.45%E -1.65%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.54%E -0.839%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-06 16:39
BetUS🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.45%E -1.65%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.54%E -0.839%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-06 16:40
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.92%E -1.88%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.69%E -2.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 17:09
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -4.38%E -2.11%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -7.45%E -4.33%K -10.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 16:19
SportsBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.84%E -2.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 17:09
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.84%E -2.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 17:09
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 16:39
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 14:39
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 14:40
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 17:09
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.23%E -2.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 17:09
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.23%E -2.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 14:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.23%E -2.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 14:39
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 15:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 15:49
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 17:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 17:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 17:00
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 17:08
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 17:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 17:09
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 16:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 17:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 16:09
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-06 16:09
Bovada🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.76%E -2.83%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -2.61%E -1.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 17:09
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.76%E -2.83%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.69%E -2.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 17:00
Betsson🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.76%E -2.83%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-06 17:09
NordicBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.76%E -2.83%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-06 17:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -6.23%E -3.07%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -8.53%E -5.02%K -12.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-06 16:59
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 17:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.69%E -2.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 17:09
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-06 17:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.16I 46.30%NM 46.53%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.47%-0.5%2026-06-06 17:09
ProphetX2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-06-06 17:09
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-06-06 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-06-06 17:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-06-06 17:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-06-06 17:09
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.62%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.38%0.7%2026-06-06 17:09
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-06 15:20
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-06-06 16:40
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.4%2026-06-06 17:00