La escuela de los momios

Detroit Tigers v Seattle Mariners

Inicio: 2026-06-06 17:11 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 0–4 Seattle Mariners

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Predicción 46.19%2.16momio equitativo
EV -0.220%
Ventaja -0.102%
Kelly -0.190%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.74%46.15%46.05%47.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.072.072.1650.00%48.20%48.31%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Predicción 53.81%1.86momio equitativo
EV -0.998%
Ventaja -0.542%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.88%53.85%53.95%55.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.771.771.8458.82%56.53%56.50%54.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetAnything2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.220%E -0.102%K -0.190%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -4.23%E -2.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-06 17:09
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.682%E -0.317%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-06 14:39
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -1.14%E -0.535%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -4.23%E -2.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-06 16:39
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.07%E -0.975%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-06 16:39
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.07%E -0.975%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-06 16:39
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -0.998%E -0.542%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-06 17:09
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.54%E -0.839%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 16:39
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.54%E -0.839%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 16:57
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.23%E -2.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-06 17:09
MyBookie.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.23%E -2.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-06 15:29
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 16:09
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 14:32
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 14:59
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 16:40
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 16:39
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 16:39
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 16:39
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 16:39
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 16:39
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 15:50
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 16:29
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 16:29
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 16:29
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 16:29
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 18:50
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.53%E -5.02%K -12.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 11:19
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.45%E -1.65%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.54%E -0.839%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-06 16:40
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.45%E -1.65%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.54%E -0.839%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-06 16:39
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.45%E -1.65%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.54%E -0.839%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-06 16:40
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.92%E -1.88%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.69%E -2.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 17:09
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -4.38%E -2.11%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -7.45%E -4.33%K -10.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 16:19
SportsBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.84%E -2.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 17:09
Bet Right2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.84%E -2.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 17:09
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 16:59
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 16:39
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 14:39
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 14:40
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 17:09
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.23%E -2.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 17:09
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.23%E -2.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 14:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.23%E -2.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 14:39
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 15:59
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 15:49
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 17:09
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 17:09
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 17:00
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 17:08
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 17:09
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 17:09
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 16:59
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 17:09
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 16:09
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-06 16:09
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.76%E -2.83%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -2.61%E -1.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 17:09
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.76%E -2.83%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.69%E -2.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 17:00
Betsson2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.76%E -2.83%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-06 17:09
NordicBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.76%E -2.83%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-06 17:09
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -6.23%E -3.07%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -8.53%E -5.02%K -12.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-06 16:59
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 17:09
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.69%E -2.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 17:09
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-06 17:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.16I 46.30%NM 46.53%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.47%-0.5%2026-06-06 17:09
ProphetX2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-06-06 17:09
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-06-06 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-06-06 17:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-06-06 17:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-06-06 17:09
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.62%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.38%0.7%2026-06-06 17:09
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-06 15:20
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-06-06 16:40
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.4%2026-06-06 17:00