Language:English
Detroit Tigers v Pittsburgh Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Detroit Tigers (Local)
Prediction 51.65%1.94fair odd
EV +3.30%
Edge +1.65%
Kelly +3.30%
Growth +0.109%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.64%51.59%51.59%52.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.861.852.0057.47%53.74%54.05%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 48.35%2.07fair odd
EV +0.564%
Edge +0.271%
Kelly +0.522%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.07%48.41%48.41%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.951.952.0854.95%51.20%51.28%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Tigers (Local): 51.65%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 48.35%. For Detroit Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.30%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV +3.30%E +1.65%K +3.30%G +0.109% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -12.01%E -6.60%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV +1.75%E +0.891%K +1.81%G +0.032% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -10.56%E -5.71%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -0.311%E -0.161%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -9.11%E -4.84%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 19:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -0.311%E -0.161%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -9.11%E -4.84%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 19:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -0.311%E -0.161%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -9.11%E -4.84%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -0.311%E -0.161%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -9.11%E -4.84%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 19:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -0.311%E -0.161%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -9.11%E -4.84%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 19:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -0.311%E -0.161%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -9.11%E -4.84%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -0.311%E -0.161%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -9.11%E -4.84%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 19:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -0.311%E -0.161%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -9.11%E -4.84%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 19:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -0.311%E -0.161%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -9.11%E -4.84%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -0.828%E -0.431%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -9.11%E -4.84%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 19:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.34%E -0.704%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.82%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-27 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -1.34%E -0.704%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -10.07%E -5.42%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -1.34%E -0.704%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -10.07%E -5.42%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -2.38%E -1.26%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -5.24%E -2.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-27 17:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.41%E -1.82%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.887%E -0.433%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-27 17:16 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.41%E -1.82%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.41%E -1.82%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.41%E -1.82%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-27 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.41%E -1.82%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-27 17:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.41%E -1.82%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-27 17:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -3.41%E -1.82%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -7.17%E -3.74%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-27 19:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.41%E -1.82%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.66%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 19:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -3.93%E -2.11%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV +0.080%E +0.039%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.93%E -2.11%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 19:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.93%E -2.11%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.21%E -3.20%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 17:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -4.44%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV +0.564%E +0.271%K +0.522%G +0.003% | 2.1% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -4.44%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV +0.564%E +0.271%K +0.522%G +0.003% | 2.1% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -4.44%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV +0.080%E +0.039%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -4.44%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV +0.080%E +0.039%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -4.44%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -0.887%E -0.433%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-27 18:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.44%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.44%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.75%E -2.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-27 19:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.44%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.24%E -2.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 19:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.44%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 18:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.44%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.14%E -4.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.44%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.14%E -4.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-27 18:58 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -4.44%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -12.01%E -6.60%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.96%E -2.70%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.75%E -2.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 19:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.96%E -2.70%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.75%E -2.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -4.96%E -2.70%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -7.17%E -3.74%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 18:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.27%E -2.16%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.27%E -2.16%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-27 18:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.69%E -3.47%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-27 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.66%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-27 17:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.99%E -3.29%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -1.37%E -0.672%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-27 18:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.99%E -3.29%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.34%E -1.16%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -5.99%E -3.29%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -2.82%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.99%E -3.29%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -3.79%E -1.90%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-27 19:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.99%E -3.29%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.27%E -2.16%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-27 18:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.03%E -3.90%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-27 19:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.03%E -3.90%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-27 19:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.03%E -3.90%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-27 19:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.03%E -3.90%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -8.06%E -4.53%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -6.69%E -3.47%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-27 18:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -10.13%E -5.82%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.20%EV -9.59%E -5.13%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.99% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 47.01% | -0.1% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.3% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59% | 1.5% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18% | 2.9% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |