Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-09-27 19:10 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prediction 45.73%2.19fair odd
EV -0.318%
Edge -0.146%
Kelly -0.270%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.67%45.72%45.74%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.072.072.1851.02%48.25%48.31%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 54.27%1.84fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.671%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.28%54.26%55.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.771.8259.88%56.69%56.50%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Detroit Tigers (Local): 45.73%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 54.27%. For Detroit Tigers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.18, with an expected value of -0.318%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -0.318%E -0.146%K -0.270%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -4.48%E -2.54%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-27 00:35
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -1.23%E -0.571%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-27 02:13
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.69%E -0.786%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-27 00:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.69%E -0.786%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.56%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-26 21:25
BetUS🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.15%E -1.00%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-27 00:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.60%E -1.22%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-27 00:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.60%E -1.22%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-27 00:30
DraftKings🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.56%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 02:15
Caesars🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.52%E -1.67%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-26 23:36
MyBookie.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.98%E -1.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 02:10
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.98%E -1.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-26 23:40
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.98%E -1.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-26 23:49
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.98%E -1.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-26 23:39
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.98%E -1.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 02:20
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 02:05
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 02:05
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.98%E -1.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.56%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 02:05
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 02:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.43%E -2.12%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.56%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 02:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.89%E -2.35%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 00:00
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.89%E -2.35%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 02:15
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.35%E -2.58%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.35%E -2.58%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:45
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.35%E -2.58%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.35%E -2.58%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.35%E -2.58%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:45
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.35%E -2.58%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:44
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.35%E -2.58%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.35%E -2.58%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:45
Bally Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.35%E -2.58%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.35%E -2.58%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:44
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.81%E -2.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 00:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.81%E -2.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.56%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 02:23
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.26%E -3.06%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 01:15
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.26%E -3.06%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 00:20
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.26%E -3.06%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.26%E -3.06%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 02:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.26%E -3.06%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 00:00
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.26%E -3.06%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 01:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.26%E -3.06%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.48%E -2.54%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 00:25
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.26%E -3.06%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 23:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.26%E -3.06%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.26%E -3.06%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.26%E -3.06%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.56%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-27 02:25
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.26%E -3.06%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-27 02:24
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.26%E -3.06%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-27 02:24
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -6.72%E -3.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -1.22%E -0.671%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.72%E -3.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 01:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.72%E -3.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 01:45
Bovada🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -7.18%E -3.54%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -1.76%E -0.974%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 00:04
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.55%E -4.27%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 00:05
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.55%E -4.27%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.55%E -4.27%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-27 00:00
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -9.92%E -5.04%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -7.19%E -4.21%K -10.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-27 01:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.01%EV -10.38%E -5.29%K -10.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.99%EV -9.36%E -5.61%K -13.97%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-27 02:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-09-27 00:30
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-26 23:40
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-26 23:45
ProphetX◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-09-27 00:40
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%3.4%2026-09-27 00:05
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%8.8%2026-09-27 00:00