Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-09-27 19:10 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Predicción 45.75%2.19momio equitativo
EV -0.273%
Ventaja -0.125%
Kelly -0.232%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.67%45.73%45.74%47.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.962.072.072.1851.02%48.24%48.31%45.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Predicción 54.25%1.84momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.691%
Kelly -1.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%54.27%54.26%55.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.761.771.8259.88%56.70%56.50%54.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Detroit Tigers (Local): 45.75%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 54.25%. Para Detroit Tigers (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.19. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.18, con un valor esperado de -0.273%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -0.273%E -0.125%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-27 00:35
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -1.19%E -0.550%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-27 03:15
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.65%E -0.765%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-27 00:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.65%E -0.765%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.60%E -3.22%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-26 21:25
BetUS🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.10%E -0.983%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-27 00:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.56%E -1.20%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-27 00:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.56%E -1.20%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-27 00:30
DraftKings🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.02%E -1.42%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.60%E -3.22%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 02:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.48%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-27 02:30
Caesars🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.48%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-26 23:36
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.93%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-26 23:40
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.93%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-26 23:49
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.93%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-26 23:39
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.93%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 02:20
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.93%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.06%E -2.89%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.93%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.06%E -2.89%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 02:05
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.93%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.06%E -2.89%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 02:05
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.93%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.60%E -3.22%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 02:05
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.93%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 02:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.39%E -2.10%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.60%E -3.22%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 03:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.85%E -2.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.06%E -2.89%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 00:00
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.85%E -2.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.06%E -2.89%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 02:15
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.31%E -2.56%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.43%E -1.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.31%E -2.56%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.43%E -1.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:45
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.31%E -2.56%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.43%E -1.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.31%E -2.56%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.43%E -1.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.31%E -2.56%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.43%E -1.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:45
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.31%E -2.56%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.43%E -1.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:44
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.31%E -2.56%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.43%E -1.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.31%E -2.56%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.43%E -1.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:45
Bally Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.31%E -2.56%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.43%E -1.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.31%E -2.56%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.43%E -1.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:44
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.31%E -2.56%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 03:00
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.31%E -2.56%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 02:59
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.76%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 00:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.76%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.60%E -3.22%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 02:23
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.22%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.43%E -1.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 01:15
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.22%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 03:15
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.22%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.22%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 02:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.22%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 00:00
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.22%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 01:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.22%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 00:25
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.22%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.06%E -2.89%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 23:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.22%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.06%E -2.89%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.22%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.06%E -2.89%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.22%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.60%E -3.22%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-27 02:25
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.22%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-27 02:24
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.22%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-27 02:24
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -6.68%E -3.27%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -1.26%E -0.691%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.68%E -3.27%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.06%E -2.89%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 01:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.68%E -3.27%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.06%E -2.89%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 01:45
Bovada🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -7.14%E -3.51%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -1.80%E -0.995%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 00:04
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.51%E -4.25%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 00:05
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.51%E -4.25%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.51%E -4.25%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.77%E -4.57%K -11.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-27 00:00
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -9.88%E -5.02%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -7.23%E -4.23%K -10.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-27 01:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.01%EV -10.34%E -5.27%K -10.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.99%EV -9.40%E -5.63%K -14.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-27 02:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%0.7%2026-09-27 03:00
ProphetX◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-09-27 02:40
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-26 23:40
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-26 23:45
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%3.4%2026-09-27 00:05
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%9.2%2026-09-27 02:25