The School of Odds

Detroit Tigers v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-07-12 17:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prediction 50.92%1.96fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.896%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.83%50.92%52.11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.881.9356%53%53%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)

Prediction 49.08%2.04fair odd
EV -0.853%
Edge -0.422%
Kelly -0.836%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.89%49.17%49.08%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.881.941.932.0253%52%52%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.73%E -0.896%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.82%E -1.42%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 21:24
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.73%E -0.896%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.82%E -1.42%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 21:24
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.73%E -0.896%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.82%E -1.42%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 21:24
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.73%E -0.896%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.82%E -1.42%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 22:19
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.75%E -1.44%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.34%E -0.669%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 01:29
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.75%E -1.44%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.27%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 21:24
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.75%E -1.44%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.27%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 19:34
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.75%E -1.44%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.27%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 19:34
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.75%E -1.44%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.27%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 19:34
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.75%E -1.44%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.27%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 19:29
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.75%E -1.44%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.27%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 21:23
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.75%E -1.44%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.27%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 01:14
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.29%E -2.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 01:29
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.76%E -3.00%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 23:49
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.74%E -3.55%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 18:14
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.74%E -3.55%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:40
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.77%E -1.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.80%E -1.94%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 20:24
Coolbet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.77%E -1.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.76%E -3.00%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 23:59
Betr (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.77%E -1.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.25%E -3.27%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 23:49
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -4.28%E -2.27%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -0.853%E -0.422%K -0.836%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-12 01:40
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.28%E -2.27%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.80%E -1.94%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 01:33
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.28%E -2.27%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.78%E -2.46%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:49
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.28%E -2.27%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.78%E -2.46%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 00:39
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.28%E -2.27%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.78%E -2.46%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 00:39
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.28%E -2.27%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.78%E -2.46%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 00:39
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.28%E -2.27%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.27%E -2.73%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 00:39
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.28%E -2.27%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.27%E -2.73%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 00:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.28%E -2.27%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.27%E -2.73%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 00:39
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.28%E -2.27%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.27%E -2.73%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 00:40
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.28%E -2.27%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.27%E -2.73%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 00:39
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.28%E -2.27%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.27%E -2.73%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 00:40
SportsBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.28%E -2.27%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.76%E -3.00%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:24
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.78%E -2.56%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.29%E -2.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 01:34
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.78%E -2.56%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.29%E -2.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 02:14
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.78%E -2.56%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.29%E -2.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 23:49
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.78%E -2.56%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.29%E -2.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 01:34
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.78%E -2.56%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.29%E -2.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 01:35
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.78%E -2.56%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.29%E -2.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 01:30
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.78%E -2.56%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.78%E -2.46%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 01:34
NordicBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.78%E -2.56%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.78%E -2.46%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 02:14
Betsson1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.78%E -2.56%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.78%E -2.46%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 02:14
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.78%E -2.56%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.78%E -2.46%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 01:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.78%E -2.56%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.78%E -2.46%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 01:34
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.78%E -2.56%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.27%E -2.73%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 00:39
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.78%E -2.56%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.27%E -2.73%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 00:39
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.78%E -2.56%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.27%E -2.73%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 00:39
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.78%E -2.56%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.27%E -2.73%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 00:39
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.78%E -2.56%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.25%E -3.27%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 19:09
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.29%E -2.85%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.78%E -2.46%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 01:34
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.80%E -3.14%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.29%E -2.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 01:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.80%E -3.14%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.29%E -2.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 01:34
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.80%E -3.14%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.29%E -2.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 01:27
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.80%E -3.14%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.76%E -3.00%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 01:33
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.80%E -3.14%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.25%E -3.27%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 23:48
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.82%E -3.73%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.25%E -3.27%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 01:34
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.82%E -3.73%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.25%E -3.27%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 02:09
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -6.82%E -3.73%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -7.23%E -3.83%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 00:39
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -7.33%E -4.03%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -2.82%E -1.42%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 01:39
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -7.33%E -4.03%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -7.23%E -3.83%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 01:34
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -8.35%E -4.64%K -10.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.72%E -4.11%K -8.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 01:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%0.0%2026-07-12 02:09
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-12 01:30
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-07-12 01:55
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-12 02:19
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.98%1.6%2026-07-12 01:30
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%2.9%2026-07-12 02:25
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.46%8.7%2026-07-12 02:19