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Detroit Tigers v Philadelphia Phillies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Detroit Tigers (Local)
Prediction 54.93%1.82fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.624%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.89%54.83%55.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.741.751.8059.17%57.31%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)
Prediction 45.07%2.22fair odd
EV -0.399%
Edge -0.180%
Kelly -0.329%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.33%45.11%45.17%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.102.2150.00%47.39%47.62%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Tigers (Local): 54.93%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 45.07%. For Philadelphia Phillies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.21, with an expected value of -0.399%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.12%E -0.624%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.65%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-12 15:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.12%E -0.624%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-12 16:55 |
| Fliff | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.12%E -0.624%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 13:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.67%E -0.934%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.20%E -1.01%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-12 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -1.67%E -0.934%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-12 17:19 |
| Everygame | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.77%E -1.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.849%E -0.386%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-12 15:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.77%E -1.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 16:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.77%E -1.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 15:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.77%E -1.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.77%E -1.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 15:29 |
| GTbets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -3.32%E -1.89%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.399%E -0.180%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| BetUS | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.32%E -1.89%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -0.849%E -0.386%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.32%E -1.89%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.30%E -0.594%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.32%E -1.89%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.30%E -0.594%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| BetAnything | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -3.32%E -1.89%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -1.75%E -0.803%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-12 17:40 |
| Casumo | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.32%E -1.89%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 17:19 |
| Unibet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.32%E -1.89%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 17:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.32%E -1.89%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 17:19 |
| betPARX | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.32%E -1.89%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 17:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.32%E -1.89%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 17:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.32%E -1.89%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 17:19 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-12 15:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.55%E -1.66%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-12 16:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.55%E -1.66%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-12 16:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 15:44 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 17:00 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 16:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 15:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 16:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 17:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 17:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 17:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 17:05 |
| ReBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 16:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 15:44 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 16:34 |
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 15:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 16:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.00%E -1.88%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 15:44 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.00%E -1.88%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 15:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.81%E -2.78%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 15:24 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 16:44 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 15:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 15:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 15:40 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 15:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-12 15:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 17:15 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 17:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 16:04 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 16:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -8.06%E -3.95%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 17:19 |
| Betway | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.07%E -3.55%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.62%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-12 17:27 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.62%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-12 16:04 |
| betano_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.62%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-12 17:32 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.17%E -4.24%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 17:12 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.33% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.67% | 0.4% | 2026-07-12 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Novig | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Polymarket | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 15:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-07-12 17:24 |
| Smarkets | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| BetOpenly | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |