La scuola delle quote

Detroit Tigers v Philadelphia Phillies

Inizio: 2026-07-12 17:41 UTC

Finale: Detroit Tigers 0–5 Philadelphia Phillies

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

65 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Casa)

Previsione 54.93%1.82quota equa
EV -1.12%
Vantaggio -0.624%
Kelly -1.40%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.63%54.89%54.83%55.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.691.741.751.8059.17%57.31%57.14%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.07%2.22quota equa
EV -0.399%
Vantaggio -0.180%
Kelly -0.329%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.21

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.33%45.11%45.17%47.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.112.102.2150.00%47.39%47.62%45.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.12%E -0.624%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.65%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-12 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.12%E -0.624%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-12 16:55
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.12%E -0.624%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 13:19
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.67%E -0.934%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.20%E -1.01%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-12 17:00
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -1.67%E -0.934%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-12 17:19
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.77%E -1.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.849%E -0.386%K -0.708%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-12 15:44
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.77%E -1.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:54
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.77%E -1.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 15:24
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.77%E -1.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 15:30
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.77%E -1.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 15:29
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -3.32%E -1.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.399%E -0.180%K -0.329%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 17:39
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.32%E -1.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -0.849%E -0.386%K -0.708%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 17:39
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.32%E -1.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.30%E -0.594%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-12 17:39
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.32%E -1.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.30%E -0.594%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-12 17:39
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -3.32%E -1.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -1.75%E -0.803%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-12 17:40
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.32%E -1.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:19
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.32%E -1.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.32%E -1.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:19
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.32%E -1.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:19
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.32%E -1.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:19
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.32%E -1.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:19
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-12 15:44
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.55%E -1.66%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 16:04
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.55%E -1.66%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 16:04
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 15:44
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:00
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 16:39
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 15:49
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 16:54
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 17:04
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 17:04
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 17:04
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 17:05
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 16:04
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 15:44
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 16:34
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 15:44
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 16:39
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.00%E -1.88%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 15:44
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.00%E -1.88%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 17:34
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 15:59
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.81%E -2.78%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 15:24
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:44
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 15:40
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 15:44
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 15:40
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 15:40
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 14:44
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 15:44
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-12 15:59
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:15
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:14
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 17:29
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 16:04
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 17:39
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 16:05
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -8.06%E -3.95%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 17:19
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.07%E -3.55%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 17:29
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.62%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 17:27
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.62%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 16:04
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.62%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 17:32
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.17%E -4.24%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 17:12
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 55.33%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.67%0.4%2026-07-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-07-12 17:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-07-12 17:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-07-12 17:39
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-12 17:39
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-12 17:34
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-12 15:25
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-07-12 17:24
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-07-12 17:39
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%5.2%2026-07-12 17:39