Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers v Minnesota Twins

Kickoff: 2026-06-10 00:31 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 10–4 Minnesota Twins

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prediction 54.00%1.85fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.645%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.95%54.11%55.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.771.771.8358.82%56.62%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Twins (Visit)

Prediction 46.00%2.17fair odd
EV -0.179%
Edge -0.083%
Kelly -0.153%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.19%46.05%45.89%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.072.072.1752.08%48.27%48.31%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Tigers (Local): 54.00%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 46.00%. For Minnesota Twins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.174. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.170, with an expected value of -0.179%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -1.18%E -0.645%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -6.16%E -3.02%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-09 23:59
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.72%E -0.945%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.02%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-09 22:00
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.26%E -1.25%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.02%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-09 21:49
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.10%E -0.511%K -0.956%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-09 12:29
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 23:59
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 22:49
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.34%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.179%E -0.083%K -0.153%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-09 22:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.34%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.10%E -0.511%K -0.956%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-09 22:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.34%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.10%E -0.511%K -0.956%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-09 22:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -2.48%E -1.17%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-09 22:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.24%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 22:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.24%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 22:59
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:59
LeoVegas🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:59
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:59
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:59
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:58
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.16%E -3.02%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 22:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.16%E -3.02%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 22:59
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.16%E -3.02%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 22:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.16%E -3.02%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 00:29
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 19:49
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 19:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 17:17
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 19:15
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 00:19
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.32%E -2.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 21:59
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.32%E -2.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 22:00
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.78%E -2.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 19:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 22:00
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.08%E -3.50%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 22:59
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 19:39
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 18:49
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 18:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.32%E -2.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 00:29
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-09 20:19
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 00:29
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 18:49
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-10 00:29
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 16:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 16:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 16:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -7.12%E -4.14%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -11.68%E -6.08%K -12.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-10 00:29
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -0.639%E -0.296%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 00:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -8.92%E -4.50%K -9.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 23:57
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-10 00:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-10 00:30
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-10 00:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-06-10 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-06-10 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-06-10 00:30
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%1.8%2026-06-10 00:29
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%2.0%2026-06-10 00:30