Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-06-10 00:31 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 10–4 Minnesota Twins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Previsão 54.00%1.85odd justa
EV -1.18%
Vantagem -0.645%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%53.95%54.11%55.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.771.771.8358.82%56.62%56.50%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 46.00%2.17odd justa
EV -0.179%
Vantagem -0.083%
Kelly -0.153%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.19%46.05%45.89%47.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.922.072.072.1752.08%48.27%48.31%46.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Detroit Tigers (Local): 54.00%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 46.00%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.174. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.170, com valor esperado de -0.179%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -1.18%E -0.645%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -6.16%E -3.02%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-09 23:59
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.72%E -0.945%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.02%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-09 22:00
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.26%E -1.25%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.02%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-09 21:49
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.10%E -0.511%K -0.956%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-09 12:29
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 23:59
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 22:49
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.34%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.179%E -0.083%K -0.153%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-09 22:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.34%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.10%E -0.511%K -0.956%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-09 22:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.34%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.10%E -0.511%K -0.956%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-09 22:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -2.48%E -1.17%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-09 22:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.24%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 22:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.24%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 22:59
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:59
LeoVegas🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:59
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:59
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:59
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:58
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.16%E -3.02%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 22:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.16%E -3.02%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 22:59
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.16%E -3.02%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 22:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.16%E -3.02%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 00:29
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 19:49
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 19:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 17:17
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 19:15
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 00:19
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.32%E -2.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 21:59
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.32%E -2.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 22:00
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.78%E -2.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 19:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 22:00
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.08%E -3.50%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 22:59
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 19:39
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 18:49
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 18:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.32%E -2.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 00:29
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-09 20:19
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 00:29
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 18:49
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-10 00:29
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 16:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 16:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 16:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -7.12%E -4.14%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -11.68%E -6.08%K -12.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-10 00:29
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -0.639%E -0.296%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 00:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -8.92%E -4.50%K -9.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 23:57
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-10 00:28
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-10 00:30
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-10 00:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-06-10 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-06-10 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-06-10 00:30
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%1.8%2026-06-10 00:29
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%2.0%2026-06-10 00:30