Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers v Minnesota Twins

Kickoff: 2026-06-10 22:41 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 4–6 Minnesota Twins

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prediction 60.64%1.65fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.65%60.76%60.61%63.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.561.571.6267.11%64.08%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Twins (Visit)

Prediction 39.36%2.54fair odd
EV +0.373%
Edge +0.146%
Kelly +0.241%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.88%39.24%39.39%40.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.342.452.452.5542.74%40.73%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Tigers (Local): 60.64%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 39.36%. For Minnesota Twins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.373%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.40%E -3.46%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%3.3%2026-06-10 21:59
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.44%E -5.59%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-10 21:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.44%E -5.59%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-10 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.44%E -5.59%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-10 22:00
LeoVegas🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.44%E -5.59%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-10 21:59
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.44%E -5.59%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-10 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.44%E -5.59%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-10 22:00
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.44%E -5.59%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-10 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.44%E -5.59%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-10 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.44%E -5.59%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-10 22:00
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.04%E -6.03%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.9%2026-06-10 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.04%E -6.03%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.9%2026-06-10 22:00
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.04%E -6.03%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.9%2026-06-10 21:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.04%E -6.03%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.9%2026-06-10 22:00
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -9.65%E -6.48%K -19.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%6.3%2026-06-10 22:00
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -0.414%E -0.164%K -0.270%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-10 20:20
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.37%E -1.47%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -1.20%E -0.478%K -0.795%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-10 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.59%E -0.638%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-10 22:39
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -1.77%E -1.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -2.38%E -0.960%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-10 16:49
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.37%E -1.47%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -2.38%E -0.960%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-10 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.37%E -1.47%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-10 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.37%E -1.47%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-10 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -1.77%E -1.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-10 22:40
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 08:40
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 10:50
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.37%E -1.47%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-10 22:39
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-10 19:30
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-10 13:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.19%E -2.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 20:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 08:39
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.40%E -3.46%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-10 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.62%E -4.30%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 22:40
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.22%E -4.72%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.22%E -4.72%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.22%E -4.72%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 14:00
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.35%E -1.79%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-10 19:39
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.01%EV -6.62%E -4.30%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.99%EV -5.14%E -2.13%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 22:40
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 05:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 22:40
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 22:40
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 04:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 05:09
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 22:40
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.19%E -2.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 12:20
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.19%E -2.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.19%E -2.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:40
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 21:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 16:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.40%E -3.46%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 22:30
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.40%E -3.46%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 10:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.62%E -4.30%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-10 22:40
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.37%E -1.47%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -6.32%E -2.65%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 22:39
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.32%E -2.65%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 22:40
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.32%E -2.65%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 22:40
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.32%E -2.65%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 05:09
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.19%E -2.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.71%E -2.83%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-10 22:39
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.19%E -2.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.71%E -2.83%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-10 22:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.50%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -7.22%E -4.72%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%EV -7.89%E -3.37%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-10 22:16
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%0.0%2026-06-10 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-06-10 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-06-10 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-06-10 22:40
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.48%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.52%0.8%2026-06-10 22:40
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-10 22:40
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-10 22:40
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-06-10 22:40
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-06-10 13:10
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-06-10 22:40