Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers v Minnesota Twins

Inicio: 2026-06-10 22:41 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 4–6 Minnesota Twins

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Predicción 60.64%1.65momio equitativo
EV -1.77%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -2.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.65%60.76%60.61%63.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.491.561.571.6267.11%64.08%63.69%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Predicción 39.36%2.54momio equitativo
EV +0.373%
Ventaja +0.146%
Kelly +0.241%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.88%39.24%39.39%40.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.342.452.452.5542.74%40.73%40.82%39.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Detroit Tigers (Local): 60.64%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 39.36%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.54. 15 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.55, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.373%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.40%E -3.46%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%3.3%2026-06-10 21:59
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.44%E -5.59%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-10 21:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.44%E -5.59%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-10 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.44%E -5.59%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-10 22:00
LeoVegas🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.44%E -5.59%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-10 21:59
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.44%E -5.59%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-10 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.44%E -5.59%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-10 22:00
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.44%E -5.59%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-10 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.44%E -5.59%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-10 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.44%E -5.59%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-10 22:00
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.04%E -6.03%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.9%2026-06-10 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.04%E -6.03%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.9%2026-06-10 22:00
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.04%E -6.03%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.9%2026-06-10 21:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.04%E -6.03%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.9%2026-06-10 22:00
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -9.65%E -6.48%K -19.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV +0.373%E +0.146%K +0.241%G +0.001%6.3%2026-06-10 22:00
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -0.414%E -0.164%K -0.270%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-10 20:20
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.37%E -1.47%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -1.20%E -0.478%K -0.795%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-10 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.59%E -0.638%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-10 22:39
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -1.77%E -1.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -2.38%E -0.960%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-10 16:49
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.37%E -1.47%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -2.38%E -0.960%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-10 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.37%E -1.47%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-10 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.37%E -1.47%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-10 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -1.77%E -1.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-10 22:40
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 08:40
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 10:50
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.37%E -1.47%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-10 22:39
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-10 19:30
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-10 13:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.19%E -2.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 20:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 08:39
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.40%E -3.46%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-10 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.62%E -4.30%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 22:40
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.22%E -4.72%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.22%E -4.72%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.22%E -4.72%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 14:00
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.35%E -1.79%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-10 19:39
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.01%EV -6.62%E -4.30%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.99%EV -5.14%E -2.13%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 22:40
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 05:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 22:40
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 22:40
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 04:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 05:09
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 22:40
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.19%E -2.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 12:20
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.19%E -2.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.19%E -2.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:40
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 21:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 16:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.40%E -3.46%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 22:30
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.40%E -3.46%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 10:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.62%E -4.30%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-10 22:40
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.37%E -1.47%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -6.32%E -2.65%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 22:39
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.32%E -2.65%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 22:40
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.32%E -2.65%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 22:40
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.32%E -2.65%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 05:09
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.19%E -2.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.71%E -2.83%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-10 22:39
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.19%E -2.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.71%E -2.83%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-10 22:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.50%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -7.22%E -4.72%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%EV -7.89%E -3.37%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-10 22:16
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%0.0%2026-06-10 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-06-10 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-06-10 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-06-10 22:40
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.48%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.52%0.8%2026-06-10 22:40
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-10 22:40
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-10 22:40
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-06-10 22:40
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-06-10 13:10
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-06-10 22:40