A Escola das Odds

Detroit Tigers v Miami Marlins

Início: 2026-04-12 17:41 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 8–2 Miami Marlins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Previsão 60.59%1.65odd justa
EV -0.635%
Vantagem -0.387%
Kelly -0.992%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.14%60.40%60.61%63.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.481.561.561.6467.57%64.14%64.10%60.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Previsão 39.41%2.54odd justa
EV +3.65%
Vantagem +1.39%
Kelly +2.24%
Crescimento +0.082%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.74%39.60%39.39%41.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.462.452.6344.44%40.57%40.82%38.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -6.69%E -4.35%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV +3.65%E +1.39%K +2.24%G +0.082%3.0%2026-04-12 16:44
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -6.69%E -4.35%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV +3.65%E +1.39%K +2.24%G +0.082%3.0%2026-04-12 17:40
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -7.91%E -5.20%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.3%2026-04-12 17:40
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.51%E -5.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.7%2026-04-12 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.51%E -5.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.7%2026-04-12 16:45
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.51%E -5.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.7%2026-04-12 16:44
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.51%E -5.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.7%2026-04-12 16:45
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.51%E -5.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.7%2026-04-12 16:44
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.51%E -5.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.7%2026-04-12 16:45
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.51%E -5.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.7%2026-04-12 16:45
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.51%E -5.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.7%2026-04-12 16:45
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -4.27%E -2.70%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV +1.68%E +0.652%K +1.06%G +0.018%2.1%2026-04-12 15:30
Everygame1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -3.66%E -2.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV +0.499%E +0.196%K +0.322%G +0.002%2.1%2026-04-12 16:39
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.12%E -6.08%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.499%E +0.196%K +0.322%G +0.002%5.9%2026-04-12 17:40
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.12%E -6.08%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.499%E +0.196%K +0.322%G +0.002%5.9%2026-04-12 16:45
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.45%E -1.52%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.47%E -0.589%K -0.981%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-12 17:39
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.47%E -0.589%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 16:49
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.47%E -0.589%K -0.981%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 16:40
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.47%E -0.589%K -0.981%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 16:54
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.47%E -0.589%K -0.981%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 15:29
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -9.72%E -6.53%K -19.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -1.47%E -0.589%K -0.981%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 17:40
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.69%E -4.35%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.26%E -0.911%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 16:40
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -10.33%E -6.98%K -21.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -2.26%E -0.911%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 17:40
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -6.09%E -3.93%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -2.65%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 16:40
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.85%E -1.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-12 17:40
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.85%E -1.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-12 17:39
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.85%E -1.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-12 17:39
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.45%E -1.52%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-12 17:39
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.27%E -2.70%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 17:39
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 17:38
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 15:00
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 15:00
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 15:00
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:20
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.09%E -3.93%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 16:40
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 17:20
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 17:20
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 17:20
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 16:30
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -3.84%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 17:39
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.66%E -2.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.23%E -1.74%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 17:24
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.23%E -1.74%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 17:33
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.62%E -1.91%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 15:20
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.62%E -1.91%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 15:25
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.06%E -1.91%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.41%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 17:10
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.66%E -2.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.41%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 17:35
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.66%E -2.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.41%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 17:35
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.27%E -2.70%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.41%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:10
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.41%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 17:39
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.41%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 17:34
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.41%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 17:34
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.09%E -3.93%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.41%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 17:10
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.20%E -2.61%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 16:39
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.66%E -2.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.38%E -3.14%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 17:40
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -0.635%E -0.387%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -9.35%E -4.07%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 17:39
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.85%E -1.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.32%E -5.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 17:40
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.85%E -1.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.32%E -5.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.06%E -1.91%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.32%E -5.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 17:40
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.06%E -1.91%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.32%E -5.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 17:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-04-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-04-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-04-12 17:40
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-12 16:50
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-12 17:00
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-12 17:40
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-04-12 17:40
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%2.4%2026-04-12 17:40
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-04-12 17:40
BetOpenly1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%3.0%2026-04-12 17:39