L’École des cotes

Detroit Tigers v Miami Marlins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 17:41 UTC

Score final : Detroit Tigers 8–2 Miami Marlins

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prévision 60.59%1.65cote équitable
EV -0.635%
Avantage -0.387%
Kelly -0.992%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.14%60.40%60.61%63.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.561.561.6467.57%64.14%64.10%60.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Miami Marlins (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.41%2.54cote équitable
EV +3.65%
Avantage +1.39%
Kelly +2.24%
Croissance +0.082%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.74%39.60%39.39%41.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.462.452.6344.44%40.57%40.82%38.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -6.69%E -4.35%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV +3.65%E +1.39%K +2.24%G +0.082%3.0%2026-04-12 16:44
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -6.69%E -4.35%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV +3.65%E +1.39%K +2.24%G +0.082%3.0%2026-04-12 17:40
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -7.91%E -5.20%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.3%2026-04-12 17:40
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.51%E -5.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.7%2026-04-12 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.51%E -5.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.7%2026-04-12 16:45
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.51%E -5.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.7%2026-04-12 16:44
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.51%E -5.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.7%2026-04-12 16:45
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.51%E -5.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.7%2026-04-12 16:44
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.51%E -5.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.7%2026-04-12 16:45
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.51%E -5.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.7%2026-04-12 16:45
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.51%E -5.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.7%2026-04-12 16:45
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -4.27%E -2.70%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV +1.68%E +0.652%K +1.06%G +0.018%2.1%2026-04-12 15:30
Everygame1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -3.66%E -2.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV +0.499%E +0.196%K +0.322%G +0.002%2.1%2026-04-12 16:39
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.12%E -6.08%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.499%E +0.196%K +0.322%G +0.002%5.9%2026-04-12 17:40
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.12%E -6.08%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.499%E +0.196%K +0.322%G +0.002%5.9%2026-04-12 16:45
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.45%E -1.52%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.47%E -0.589%K -0.981%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-12 17:39
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.47%E -0.589%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 16:49
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.47%E -0.589%K -0.981%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 16:40
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.47%E -0.589%K -0.981%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 16:54
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.47%E -0.589%K -0.981%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 15:29
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -9.72%E -6.53%K -19.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -1.47%E -0.589%K -0.981%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 17:40
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.69%E -4.35%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.26%E -0.911%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 16:40
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -10.33%E -6.98%K -21.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -2.26%E -0.911%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 17:40
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -6.09%E -3.93%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -2.65%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 16:40
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.85%E -1.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-12 17:40
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.85%E -1.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-12 17:39
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.85%E -1.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-12 17:39
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.45%E -1.52%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-12 17:39
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.27%E -2.70%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 17:39
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 17:38
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 15:00
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 15:00
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 15:00
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:20
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.09%E -3.93%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 16:40
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 17:20
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 17:20
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 17:20
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 16:30
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -3.84%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 17:39
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.66%E -2.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.23%E -1.74%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 17:24
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.23%E -1.74%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 17:33
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.62%E -1.91%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 15:20
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.62%E -1.91%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 15:25
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.06%E -1.91%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.41%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 17:10
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.66%E -2.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.41%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 17:35
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.66%E -2.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.41%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 17:35
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.27%E -2.70%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.41%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:10
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.41%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 17:39
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.41%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 17:34
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.41%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 17:34
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.09%E -3.93%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.41%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 17:10
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.20%E -2.61%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 16:39
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.66%E -2.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.38%E -3.14%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 17:40
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -0.635%E -0.387%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -9.35%E -4.07%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 17:39
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.85%E -1.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.32%E -5.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 17:40
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.85%E -1.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.32%E -5.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.06%E -1.91%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.32%E -5.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 17:40
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.06%E -1.91%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.32%E -5.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 17:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-04-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-04-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-04-12 17:40
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-12 16:50
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-12 17:00
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-12 17:40
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-04-12 17:40
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%2.4%2026-04-12 17:40
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-04-12 17:40
BetOpenly1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%3.0%2026-04-12 17:39