La escuela de los momios

Detroit Tigers v Miami Marlins

Inicio: 2026-04-12 17:41 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 8–2 Miami Marlins

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Predicción 60.59%1.65momio equitativo
EV -0.635%
Ventaja -0.387%
Kelly -0.992%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%60.40%60.61%63.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.561.561.6467.57%64.14%64.10%60.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Predicción 39.41%2.54momio equitativo
EV +3.65%
Ventaja +1.39%
Kelly +2.24%
Crecimiento +0.082%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.74%39.60%39.39%41.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.462.452.6344.44%40.57%40.82%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -6.69%E -4.35%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV +3.65%E +1.39%K +2.24%G +0.082%3.0%2026-04-12 16:44
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -6.69%E -4.35%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV +3.65%E +1.39%K +2.24%G +0.082%3.0%2026-04-12 17:40
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -7.91%E -5.20%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.3%2026-04-12 17:40
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.51%E -5.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.7%2026-04-12 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.51%E -5.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.7%2026-04-12 16:45
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.51%E -5.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.7%2026-04-12 16:44
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.51%E -5.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.7%2026-04-12 16:45
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.51%E -5.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.7%2026-04-12 16:44
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.51%E -5.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.7%2026-04-12 16:45
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.51%E -5.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.7%2026-04-12 16:45
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.51%E -5.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.47%E +0.950%K +1.54%G +0.038%4.7%2026-04-12 16:45
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -4.27%E -2.70%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV +1.68%E +0.652%K +1.06%G +0.018%2.1%2026-04-12 15:30
Everygame1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -3.66%E -2.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV +0.499%E +0.196%K +0.322%G +0.002%2.1%2026-04-12 16:39
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.12%E -6.08%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.499%E +0.196%K +0.322%G +0.002%5.9%2026-04-12 17:40
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.12%E -6.08%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.499%E +0.196%K +0.322%G +0.002%5.9%2026-04-12 16:45
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.45%E -1.52%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.47%E -0.589%K -0.981%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-12 17:39
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.47%E -0.589%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 16:49
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.47%E -0.589%K -0.981%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 16:40
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.47%E -0.589%K -0.981%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 16:54
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.47%E -0.589%K -0.981%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 15:29
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -9.72%E -6.53%K -19.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -1.47%E -0.589%K -0.981%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 17:40
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.69%E -4.35%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.26%E -0.911%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 16:40
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -10.33%E -6.98%K -21.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -2.26%E -0.911%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 17:40
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -6.09%E -3.93%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -2.65%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 16:40
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.85%E -1.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-12 17:40
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.85%E -1.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-12 17:39
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.85%E -1.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-12 17:39
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.45%E -1.52%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-12 17:39
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.27%E -2.70%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 17:39
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 17:38
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 15:00
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 15:00
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 15:00
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:20
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.09%E -3.93%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 16:40
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 17:20
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 17:20
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 17:20
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 16:30
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -3.84%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 17:39
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.66%E -2.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.23%E -1.74%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 17:24
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.23%E -1.74%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 17:33
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.62%E -1.91%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 15:20
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.62%E -1.91%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 15:25
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.06%E -1.91%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.41%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 17:10
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.66%E -2.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.41%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 17:35
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.66%E -2.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.41%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 17:35
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.27%E -2.70%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.41%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:10
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.41%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 17:39
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.41%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 17:34
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.41%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 17:34
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.09%E -3.93%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.41%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 17:10
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.20%E -2.61%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 16:39
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.66%E -2.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.38%E -3.14%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 17:40
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -0.635%E -0.387%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -9.35%E -4.07%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 17:39
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.85%E -1.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.32%E -5.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 17:40
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.85%E -1.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.32%E -5.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.06%E -1.91%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.32%E -5.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 17:40
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.06%E -1.91%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.32%E -5.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 17:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-04-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-04-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-04-12 17:40
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-12 16:50
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-12 17:00
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-12 17:40
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-04-12 17:40
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%2.4%2026-04-12 17:40
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-04-12 17:40
BetOpenly1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%3.0%2026-04-12 17:39