Language:English
Detroit Tigers v Kansas City Royals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Detroit Tigers (Local)
Prediction 52.76%1.90fair odd
EV -0.276%
Edge -0.146%
Kelly -0.310%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%52.87%52.63%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.821.821.8957.80%55.06%54.95%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kansas City Royals (Visit)
Prediction 47.24%2.12fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.841%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%47.13%47.37%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.012.002.0851.28%49.66%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Tigers (Local): 52.76%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 47.24%. For Detroit Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.89, with an expected value of -0.276%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -0.276%E -0.146%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-14 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -0.276%E -0.146%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -0.276%E -0.146%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.33%E -0.712%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.33%E -0.712%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.33%E -0.712%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.39%E -1.29%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.75%E -0.841%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -2.39%E -1.29%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.39%E -1.29%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -2.91%E -1.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -6.00%E -3.02%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 22:33 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.89%E -4.05%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.50%E -2.48%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.50%E -2.48%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.50%E -2.48%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.50%E -2.48%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.69%E -1.31%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.89%E -4.05%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -2.22%E -1.07%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -7.14%E -4.05%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.19%E -4.71%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.19%E -4.71%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -7.42%E -3.78%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25% | 0.1% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35% | 1.4% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22% | 1.7% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |