Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers v Kansas City Royals

Início: 2026-04-14 22:42 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 2–1 Kansas City Royals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Previsão 52.76%1.90odd justa
EV -0.276%
Vantagem -0.146%
Kelly -0.310%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.89

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.59%52.87%52.63%54.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.731.821.821.8957.80%55.06%54.95%52.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Previsão 47.24%2.12odd justa
EV -1.75%
Vantagem -0.841%
Kelly -1.62%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.91%47.13%47.37%48.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.012.002.0851.28%49.66%50.00%48.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Detroit Tigers (Local): 52.76%; Kansas City Royals (Visitante): 47.24%. Para Detroit Tigers (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.90. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.89, com valor esperado de -0.276%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -0.276%E -0.146%K -0.310%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-14 22:25
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -0.276%E -0.146%K -0.310%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-14 22:39
BetUS🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -0.276%E -0.146%K -0.310%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-14 22:39
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.33%E -0.712%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-14 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.33%E -0.712%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-14 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.33%E -0.712%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-14 22:40
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.39%E -1.29%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.75%E -0.841%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-14 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -2.39%E -1.29%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-14 22:40
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.39%E -1.29%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 22:39
Bovada🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -2.91%E -1.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -6.00%E -3.02%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 22:33
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 22:39
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 22:40
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 22:39
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 22:39
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 22:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 22:39
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 22:39
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 22:39
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.89%E -4.05%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 22:40
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 22:40
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 22:39
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 22:39
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 22:40
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 22:40
LeoVegas🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 22:40
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 22:40
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 22:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.50%E -2.48%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.50%E -2.48%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.50%E -2.48%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.50%E -2.48%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.69%E -1.31%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 22:39
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 22:40
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 22:39
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 22:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 22:39
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 22:40
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 22:39
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 22:39
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 22:40
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 22:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 22:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 22:39
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.89%E -4.05%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 22:39
DraftKings🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -2.22%E -1.07%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -7.14%E -4.05%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 22:40
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.19%E -4.71%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 22:40
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.19%E -4.71%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -7.42%E -3.78%K -7.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 22:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75%2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25%0.1%2026-04-14 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-04-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-04-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-04-14 22:40
ProphetX1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-04-14 22:40
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.4%2026-04-14 22:40
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.7%2026-04-14 22:40
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-04-14 22:40
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-04-14 22:40