Language:English
Detroit Tigers v Kansas City Royals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Detroit Tigers (Local)
Prediction 67.20%1.49fair odd
EV -0.545%
Edge -0.369%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.59%67.31%67.13%68.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.421.421.4874.07%70.64%70.42%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kansas City Royals (Visit)
Prediction 32.80%3.05fair odd
EV +1.68%
Edge +0.543%
Kelly +0.801%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.11%32.69%32.87%35.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.922.903.1037.04%34.26%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Tigers (Local): 67.20%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 32.80%. For Kansas City Royals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.05. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.68%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +1.68%E +0.543%K +0.801%G +0.013% | 3.7% | 2026-07-23 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.27%E -5.26%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +0.043%E +0.014%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 22:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -6.59%E -4.74%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -0.941%E -0.312%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-23 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.91%E -2.73%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-23 22:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.91%E -2.73%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-23 22:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.25%E -3.72%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 22:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 22:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.27%E -5.26%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 22:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.27%E -5.26%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 22:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.27%E -5.26%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 22:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.27%E -5.26%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.61%E -6.33%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-23 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.61%E -6.33%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-23 22:37 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.04%EV -1.89%E -1.29%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.96%EV -2.58%E -0.869%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-23 22:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.23%E -2.25%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-23 19:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.91%E -2.73%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-23 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.58%E -3.22%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.61%E -6.33%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-23 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -1.22%E -0.828%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -3.89%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-23 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -1.22%E -0.828%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -3.89%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-23 22:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.25%E -3.72%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -3.89%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-23 19:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%EV -0.545%E -0.369%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%EV -4.22%E -1.45%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.97%EV -3.23%E -2.25%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.03%EV -4.22%E -1.45%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-23 22:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.91%E -2.73%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.22%E -1.45%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 22:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -1.22%E -0.828%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-23 22:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.56%E -1.77%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.56%E -1.77%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-23 22:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.23%E -2.25%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-23 20:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.91%E -2.73%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-23 22:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.58%E -3.22%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-23 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.58%E -3.22%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-23 21:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-23 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-23 20:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.61%E -6.33%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 22:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.61%E -6.33%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 22:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -9.28%E -6.88%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-23 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.91%E -2.73%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.53%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.91%E -2.73%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.53%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -3.23%E -2.25%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -5.86%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 22:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -3.23%E -2.25%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -5.86%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 22:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -1.22%E -0.828%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-23 22:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.23%E -2.25%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-23 22:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.23%E -2.25%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-23 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.23%E -2.25%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-23 22:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.91%E -2.73%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 22:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-23 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-23 17:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-23 17:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.27%E -5.26%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-23 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -9.28%E -6.88%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-23 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -3.91%E -2.73%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.85%E -2.41%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-23 22:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -3.91%E -2.73%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.85%E -2.41%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-23 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -3.91%E -2.73%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -7.17%E -2.53%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.58%E -3.22%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-23 22:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 20:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -0.545%E -0.369%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -11.44%E -4.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-23 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -0.545%E -0.369%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -11.44%E -4.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-23 22:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-07-23 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-07-23 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-07-23 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-07-23 21:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-07-23 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-07-23 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.04% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96% | 1.5% | 2026-07-23 22:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64% | 2.5% | 2026-07-23 22:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73% | 2.5% | 2026-07-23 22:40 |
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