La escuela de los momios

Detroit Tigers v Kansas City Royals

Inicio: 2026-07-23 22:41 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 4–3 Kansas City Royals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Predicción 67.20%1.49momio equitativo
EV -0.545%
Ventaja -0.369%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.59%67.31%67.13%68.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.421.421.4874.07%70.64%70.42%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 32.80%3.05momio equitativo
EV +1.68%
Ventaja +0.543%
Kelly +0.801%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.11%32.69%32.87%35.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.922.903.1037.04%34.26%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +1.68%E +0.543%K +0.801%G +0.013%3.7%2026-07-23 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.27%E -5.26%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +0.043%E +0.014%K +0.021%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 22:40
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -6.59%E -4.74%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -0.941%E -0.312%K -0.466%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-23 22:40
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.91%E -2.73%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-23 22:35
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.91%E -2.73%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-23 22:35
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.25%E -3.72%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-23 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 22:35
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 22:40
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 22:40
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 22:40
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 22:40
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 22:40
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.27%E -5.26%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 22:35
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.27%E -5.26%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 22:35
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.27%E -5.26%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 22:35
Dabble (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.27%E -5.26%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 22:25
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.61%E -6.33%K -23.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 22:40
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.61%E -6.33%K -23.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.60%E -0.532%K -0.799%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 22:37
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 67.04%EV -1.89%E -1.29%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.96%EV -2.58%E -0.869%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-23 22:30
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.23%E -2.25%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-23 19:30
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.91%E -2.73%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-23 22:30
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.58%E -3.22%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-23 22:25
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.61%E -6.33%K -23.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-23 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -1.22%E -0.828%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -3.89%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-23 22:35
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -1.22%E -0.828%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -3.89%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-23 22:35
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.25%E -3.72%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -3.89%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-23 19:30
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%EV -0.545%E -0.369%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%EV -4.22%E -1.45%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-23 21:55
MyBookie.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.97%EV -3.23%E -2.25%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.03%EV -4.22%E -1.45%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-23 22:40
Caesars1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.91%E -2.73%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.22%E -1.45%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 22:35
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -1.22%E -0.828%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-23 22:35
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.56%E -1.77%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-23 22:25
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.56%E -1.77%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-23 22:35
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.23%E -2.25%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-23 20:40
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.91%E -2.73%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-23 22:39
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.58%E -3.22%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-23 19:30
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.58%E -3.22%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-23 21:35
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 18:25
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 20:40
betano_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.61%E -6.33%K -23.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-23 22:35
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.61%E -6.33%K -23.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-23 22:35
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -9.28%E -6.88%K -26.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 22:40
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.91%E -2.73%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.53%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 18:35
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.91%E -2.73%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.53%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 20:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -3.23%E -2.25%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -5.86%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-23 22:35
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -3.23%E -2.25%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -5.86%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-23 22:35
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -1.22%E -0.828%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-23 22:35
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.23%E -2.25%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-23 22:35
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.23%E -2.25%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-23 16:55
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.23%E -2.25%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-23 22:34
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.91%E -2.73%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 22:35
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-23 17:05
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-23 17:05
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-23 17:05
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.27%E -5.26%K -19.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 22:40
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -9.28%E -6.88%K -26.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-23 22:40
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -3.91%E -2.73%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.85%E -2.41%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-23 22:15
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -3.91%E -2.73%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.85%E -2.41%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-23 22:15
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -3.91%E -2.73%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -7.17%E -2.53%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.58%E -3.22%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 22:30
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-23 20:40
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -0.545%E -0.369%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -11.44%E -4.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-23 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -0.545%E -0.369%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -11.44%E -4.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-23 22:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-07-23 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-07-23 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-07-23 22:40
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-07-23 21:25
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-07-23 16:15
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-07-23 22:40
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-07-23 22:40
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 67.04%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96%1.5%2026-07-23 22:40
BetOpenly1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%2.5%2026-07-23 22:35
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73%2.5%2026-07-23 22:40