Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers v Houston Astros

Kickoff: 2026-06-25 22:41 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 1–2 Houston Astros

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prediction 52.48%1.91fair odd
EV +0.237%
Edge +0.124%
Kelly +0.261%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.55%52.49%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.821.811.9158.82%54.95%55.10%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Astros (Visit)

Prediction 47.52%2.10fair odd
EV -0.208%
Edge -0.099%
Kelly -0.190%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.95%47.45%47.51%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.012.002.1052.36%49.71%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Tigers (Local): 52.48%; Houston Astros (Visit): 47.52%. For Detroit Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.905. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.910, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.237%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.237%E +0.124%K +0.261%G +0.001%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 13:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -1.34%E -0.711%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -5.44%E -2.73%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-25 22:09
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.63%E -0.789%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-25 22:00
BetAnything🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.11%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-25 22:39
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -0.684%E -0.327%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-25 22:10
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.16%E -0.557%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-25 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.63%E -0.789%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-25 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.63%E -0.789%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-25 22:30
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.63%E -0.789%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-25 22:39
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 22:10
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 22:39
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.91%E -2.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.91%E -2.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 22:39
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.91%E -2.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 22:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.44%E -1.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-25 22:00
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.208%E -0.099%K -0.190%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-25 22:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.11%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-25 22:09
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 21:30
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 22:30
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 20:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 22:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 20:50
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 20:20
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 22:30
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-25 12:39
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.49%E -2.46%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-25 22:30
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.49%E -2.46%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.44%E -2.73%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 22:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.49%E -2.46%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.44%E -2.73%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 22:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.49%E -2.46%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.91%E -2.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-25 20:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.49%E -2.46%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.91%E -2.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-25 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.06%E -1.50%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.06%E -1.50%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 22:20
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.53%E -1.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-25 22:00
LeoVegas🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 22:40
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 22:40
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 22:40
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 22:40
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.58%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 22:20
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.58%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 22:29
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 22:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 22:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -4.49%E -2.23%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 22:00
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 22:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 22:10
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 22:38
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 22:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.91%E -2.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 22:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-25 20:50
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-25 22:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-25 22:40
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-25 22:40
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-25 22:40
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.23%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -6.39%E -3.24%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-25 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.78%E -6.34%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-25 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-25 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-25 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-25 22:40
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-25 22:40
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-25 22:40
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.4%2026-06-25 22:40
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-06-25 22:40
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-06-25 22:40
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%2.8%2026-06-25 22:30
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%8.0%2026-06-25 22:40