La escuela de los momios

Detroit Tigers v Houston Astros

Inicio: 2026-06-25 22:41 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 1–2 Houston Astros

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Predicción 52.48%1.91momio equitativo
EV +0.237%
Ventaja +0.124%
Kelly +0.261%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%52.55%52.49%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.821.811.9158.82%54.95%55.10%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Predicción 47.52%2.10momio equitativo
EV -0.208%
Ventaja -0.099%
Kelly -0.190%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.95%47.45%47.51%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.012.002.1052.36%49.71%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.237%E +0.124%K +0.261%G +0.001%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 13:49
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -1.34%E -0.711%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -5.44%E -2.73%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-25 22:09
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.63%E -0.789%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-25 22:00
BetAnything1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.11%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-25 22:39
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -0.684%E -0.327%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-25 22:10
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.16%E -0.557%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-25 22:30
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.63%E -0.789%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-25 22:30
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.63%E -0.789%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-25 22:30
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.63%E -0.789%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-25 22:39
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 22:10
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 22:39
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.91%E -2.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.91%E -2.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 22:39
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.91%E -2.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 22:39
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.44%E -1.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-25 22:00
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.208%E -0.099%K -0.190%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-25 22:30
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.11%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-25 22:09
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 21:30
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 22:30
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 20:50
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 22:00
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 20:50
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 20:20
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 22:30
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-25 12:39
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.49%E -2.46%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-25 22:30
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.49%E -2.46%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.44%E -2.73%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 22:09
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.49%E -2.46%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.44%E -2.73%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 22:30
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.49%E -2.46%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.91%E -2.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-25 20:50
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.49%E -2.46%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.91%E -2.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-25 22:00
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.06%E -1.50%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 22:20
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.06%E -1.50%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 22:20
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.53%E -1.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-25 22:00
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 22:40
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 22:40
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 22:40
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 22:40
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 22:40
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 22:40
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.58%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 22:20
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.58%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 22:29
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 22:20
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 22:40
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 22:40
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 22:39
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 22:40
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -4.49%E -2.23%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 22:00
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 22:10
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 22:10
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 22:10
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 22:38
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 22:00
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.91%E -2.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 22:29
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-25 20:50
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-25 22:09
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-25 22:40
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-25 22:40
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-25 22:40
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.23%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -6.39%E -3.24%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-25 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.78%E -6.34%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-25 22:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-25 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-25 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-25 22:40
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-25 22:40
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-25 22:40
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.4%2026-06-25 22:40
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-06-25 22:40
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-06-25 22:40
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%2.8%2026-06-25 22:30
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%8.0%2026-06-25 22:40