A Escola das Odds

Detroit Tigers v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-05-04 22:11 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 4–5 Boston Red Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Previsão 47.43%2.11odd justa
EV +0.084%
Vantagem +0.040%
Kelly +0.076%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.97%48.39%47.37%64.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.472.002.002.1168.03%50.10%50.00%47.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 52.57%1.90odd justa
EV +40.88%
Vantagem +15.25%
Kelly +24.33%
Crescimento +9.95%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.42%51.61%52.63%54.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.771.841.832.6856.50%54.40%54.64%37.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -30.27%E -20.59%K -64.41%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV +40.88%E +15.25%K +24.33%G +9.95%5.3%2026-05-04 14:20
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.403%E +0.211%K +0.443%G +0.002%4.7%2026-05-04 19:35
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.17%E -0.625%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-04 20:24
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -1.70%E -0.909%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-04 19:50
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -9.88%E -5.20%K -10.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -1.70%E -0.909%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 19:50
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -0.865%E -0.414%K -0.793%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-04 22:00
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 22:10
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.56%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 20:24
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.56%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 20:24
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 20:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 20:24
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 20:24
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 20:24
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 20:24
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 20:25
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 20:24
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 20:25
MyBookie.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.66%E -2.32%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.28%E -1.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 22:04
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.28%E -1.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 20:24
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.28%E -1.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 20:24
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.11%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -3.28%E -1.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 22:00
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV +0.084%E +0.040%K +0.076%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-04 22:09
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.390%E -0.186%K -0.355%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-04 21:54
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.390%E -0.186%K -0.355%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-04 21:40
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.865%E -0.414%K -0.793%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-04 21:53
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.865%E -0.414%K -0.793%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-04 21:54
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.865%E -0.414%K -0.793%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-04 22:04
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 22:10
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 21:44
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 20:24
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 20:24
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 22:09
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 19:49
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-04 22:09
Betr (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.61%E -2.82%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 22:09
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 22:10
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.98%E -4.11%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 22:10
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 22:10
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 21:59
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 21:39
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 22:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 22:00
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 21:59
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 21:43
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 22:10
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 22:09
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 21:39
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 22:04
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 22:04
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 22:04
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 22:09
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 21:58
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.24%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.91%E -3.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-04 22:00
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.91%E -3.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 22:08
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.91%E -3.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 22:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.43%E -3.61%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.43%E -3.61%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:00
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.43%E -3.61%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 22:09
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -1.34%E -0.644%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 22:03
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-05-04 22:10
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%0.6%2026-05-04 22:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-05-04 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-05-04 22:05
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-04 19:55
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-05-04 22:09
ProphetX2.09I 47.85%NM 47.22%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.78%1.3%2026-05-04 22:10
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-05-04 22:10
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.3%2026-05-04 22:10
BetOpenly1.48I 67.57%NM 55.69%1.86I 53.76%NM 44.31%21.3%2026-05-04 22:09