L’École des cotes

Detroit Tigers v Boston Red Sox

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-04 22:11 UTC

Score final : Detroit Tigers 4–5 Boston Red Sox

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prévision 47.43%2.11cote équitable
EV +0.084%
Avantage +0.040%
Kelly +0.076%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.97%48.39%47.37%64.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.472.002.002.1168.03%50.10%50.00%47.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boston Red Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.57%1.90cote équitable
EV +40.88%
Avantage +15.25%
Kelly +24.33%
Croissance +9.95%

avec la cote maximale 2.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.42%51.61%52.63%54.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.771.841.832.6856.50%54.40%54.64%37.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -30.27%E -20.59%K -64.41%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV +40.88%E +15.25%K +24.33%G +9.95%5.3%2026-05-04 14:20
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.403%E +0.211%K +0.443%G +0.002%4.7%2026-05-04 19:35
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.17%E -0.625%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-04 20:24
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -1.70%E -0.909%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-04 19:50
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -9.88%E -5.20%K -10.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -1.70%E -0.909%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 19:50
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -0.865%E -0.414%K -0.793%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-04 22:00
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 22:10
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.56%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 20:24
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.56%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 20:24
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 20:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 20:24
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 20:24
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 20:24
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 20:24
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 20:25
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 20:24
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 20:25
MyBookie.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.66%E -2.32%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.28%E -1.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 22:04
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.28%E -1.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 20:24
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.28%E -1.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 20:24
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.11%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -3.28%E -1.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 22:00
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV +0.084%E +0.040%K +0.076%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-04 22:09
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.390%E -0.186%K -0.355%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-04 21:54
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.390%E -0.186%K -0.355%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-04 21:40
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.865%E -0.414%K -0.793%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-04 21:53
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.865%E -0.414%K -0.793%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-04 21:54
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.865%E -0.414%K -0.793%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-04 22:04
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 22:10
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 21:44
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 20:24
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 20:24
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 22:09
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 19:49
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-04 22:09
Betr (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.61%E -2.82%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 22:09
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 22:10
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.98%E -4.11%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 22:10
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 22:10
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 21:59
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 21:39
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 22:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 22:00
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 21:59
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 21:43
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 22:10
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 22:09
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 21:39
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 22:04
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 22:04
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 22:04
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 22:09
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 21:58
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.24%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.91%E -3.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-04 22:00
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.91%E -3.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 22:08
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.91%E -3.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 22:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.43%E -3.61%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.43%E -3.61%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:00
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.43%E -3.61%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 22:09
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -1.34%E -0.644%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 22:03
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-05-04 22:10
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%0.6%2026-05-04 22:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-05-04 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-05-04 22:05
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-04 19:55
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-05-04 22:09
ProphetX2.09I 47.85%NM 47.22%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.78%1.3%2026-05-04 22:10
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-05-04 22:10
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.3%2026-05-04 22:10
BetOpenly1.48I 67.57%NM 55.69%1.86I 53.76%NM 44.31%21.3%2026-05-04 22:09