La escuela de los momios

Detroit Tigers v Boston Red Sox

Inicio: 2026-05-04 22:11 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 4–5 Boston Red Sox

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Predicción 47.43%2.11momio equitativo
EV +0.084%
Ventaja +0.040%
Kelly +0.076%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.97%48.39%47.37%64.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.472.002.002.1168.03%50.10%50.00%47.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 52.57%1.90momio equitativo
EV +40.88%
Ventaja +15.25%
Kelly +24.33%
Crecimiento +9.95%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.42%51.61%52.63%54.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.771.841.832.6856.50%54.40%54.64%37.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -30.27%E -20.59%K -64.41%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV +40.88%E +15.25%K +24.33%G +9.95%5.3%2026-05-04 14:20
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.403%E +0.211%K +0.443%G +0.002%4.7%2026-05-04 19:35
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.17%E -0.625%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-04 20:24
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -1.70%E -0.909%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-04 19:50
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -9.88%E -5.20%K -10.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -1.70%E -0.909%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 19:50
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -0.865%E -0.414%K -0.793%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-04 22:00
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 22:10
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.56%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 20:24
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.56%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 20:24
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 20:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 20:24
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 20:24
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 20:24
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 20:24
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 20:25
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 20:24
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 20:25
MyBookie.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.66%E -2.32%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.28%E -1.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 22:04
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.28%E -1.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 20:24
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.28%E -1.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 20:24
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.11%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -3.28%E -1.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 22:00
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV +0.084%E +0.040%K +0.076%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-04 22:09
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.390%E -0.186%K -0.355%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-04 21:54
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.390%E -0.186%K -0.355%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-04 21:40
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.865%E -0.414%K -0.793%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-04 21:53
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.865%E -0.414%K -0.793%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-04 21:54
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.865%E -0.414%K -0.793%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-04 22:04
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 22:10
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 21:44
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 20:24
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 20:24
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 22:09
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 19:49
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-04 22:09
Betr (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.61%E -2.82%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 22:09
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 22:10
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.98%E -4.11%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 22:10
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 22:10
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 21:59
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 21:39
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 22:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 22:00
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 21:59
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 21:43
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 22:10
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 22:09
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 21:39
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 22:04
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 22:04
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 22:04
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 22:09
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 21:58
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.24%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.91%E -3.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-04 22:00
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.91%E -3.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 22:08
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.91%E -3.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 22:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.43%E -3.61%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.43%E -3.61%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:00
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.43%E -3.61%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 22:09
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -1.34%E -0.644%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 22:03
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-05-04 22:10
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%0.6%2026-05-04 22:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-05-04 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-05-04 22:05
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-04 19:55
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-05-04 22:09
ProphetX2.09I 47.85%NM 47.22%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.78%1.3%2026-05-04 22:10
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-05-04 22:10
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.3%2026-05-04 22:10
BetOpenly1.48I 67.57%NM 55.69%1.86I 53.76%NM 44.31%21.3%2026-05-04 22:09