The School of Odds

Detroit Tigers v Baltimore Orioles

2026-07-27 22:40 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prediction 51.27%1.95fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.545%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.35%51.32%52.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.761.851.851.9356.82%53.92%53.91%51.81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Visit)

Prediction 48.73%2.05fair odd
EV -0.100%
Edge -0.049%
Kelly -0.095%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.70%48.65%48.68%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.861.951.942.0553.76%51.29%51.41%48.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.05%E -0.545%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -3.02%E -1.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-26 18:35
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.08%E -1.09%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 19:05
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.59%E -1.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -3.90%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 18:30
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.10%E -1.64%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.49%E -2.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 18:30
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.62%E -1.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.07%E -0.529%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 19:05
SportsBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.62%E -1.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 18:30
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.13%E -2.21%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.100%E -0.049%K -0.095%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 19:00
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -4.13%E -2.21%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -0.587%E -0.288%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -4.13%E -2.21%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -0.587%E -0.288%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 19:00
MyBookie.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.13%E -2.21%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.51%E -1.77%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 19:19
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.13%E -2.21%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.97%E -2.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 19:15
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.13%E -2.21%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.97%E -2.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 19:15
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.13%E -2.21%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.95%E -3.08%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 19:14
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.13%E -2.21%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 19:00
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.64%E -2.50%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.49%E -2.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 19:20
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.15%E -2.79%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.00%E -2.03%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 19:15
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.15%E -2.79%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.49%E -2.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 19:20
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.15%E -2.79%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.97%E -2.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 19:16
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.15%E -2.79%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 19:20
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.15%E -2.79%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 19:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.15%E -2.79%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.67%E -3.08%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.46%E -2.81%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 19:15
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.67%E -3.08%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.46%E -2.81%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 19:20
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.18%E -3.38%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.54%E -1.27%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 19:20
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.18%E -3.38%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.51%E -1.77%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 19:20
betano_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.18%E -3.38%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.95%E -3.08%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 19:19
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.18%E -3.38%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.95%E -3.08%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 19:19
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 19:15
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -9.26%E -5.23%K -12.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -8.87%E -4.74%K -10.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 19:15
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -9.77%E -5.55%K -12.85%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -9.36%E -5.03%K -10.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 19:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-07-26 18:35
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-26 19:00
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-07-26 19:05
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%9.0%2026-07-26 19:20