Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers v Baltimore Orioles

Kickoff: 2026-07-27 22:40 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 5–8 Baltimore Orioles

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prediction 53.77%1.86fair odd
EV +0.013%
Edge +0.007%
Kelly +0.016%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.98%53.61%53.93%55.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.791.801.8658.82%55.79%55.56%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visit)

Prediction 46.23%2.16fair odd
EV -0.607%
Edge -0.282%
Kelly -0.528%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.74%46.39%46.07%48.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.042.052.1551.81%49.03%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Tigers (Local): 53.77%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 46.23%. For Detroit Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.8598. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.8600, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.013%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV +0.013%E +0.007%K +0.016%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -4.31%E -2.08%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 21:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 02:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:05
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:05
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:05
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:05
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:05
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.14%E -1.17%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -8.47%E -4.28%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.14%E -1.17%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -8.47%E -4.28%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 22:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.14%E -1.17%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -8.47%E -4.28%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 22:05
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.14%E -1.17%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.93%E -4.53%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 22:05
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%EV -2.68%E -1.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%EV -0.607%E -0.282%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-27 22:35
Everygame🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.68%E -1.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.53%E -0.719%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-27 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.68%E -1.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.99%E -0.940%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-27 22:30
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.68%E -1.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.77%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-27 22:35
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.607%E -0.282%K -0.528%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 22:39
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.07%E -0.500%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-27 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.53%E -0.719%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-27 22:40
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-27 22:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-27 22:35
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 21:55
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 21:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.62%E -3.28%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 22:30
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 22:35
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 20:05
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 22:40
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.85%E -5.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 22:29
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.85%E -5.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 22:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.85%E -5.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 22:40
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.85%E -5.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 22:35
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.85%E -5.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -1.99%E -0.940%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-27 21:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 22:35
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 22:35
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 22:35
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 22:30
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 22:35
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 22:35
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -10.78%E -5.58%K -11.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 22:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 21:40
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 21:39
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 21:54
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 22:35
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:35
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 21:55
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 21:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.36%E -3.05%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.77%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 22:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.36%E -3.05%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.36%E -3.05%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 22:35
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 22:05
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 22:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 22:05
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.44%E -3.70%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.44%E -3.70%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 22:35
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.98%E -4.03%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 22:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.59%E -5.05%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 22:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%0.1%2026-07-27 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-27 22:05
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-07-27 22:30
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-07-27 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-07-27 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-07-27 22:35
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-27 21:45
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-27 22:35
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-07-27 22:30
BetOpenly1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%3.1%2026-07-27 22:35

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