Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers v Baltimore Orioles

Inicio: 2026-07-27 22:40 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 5–8 Baltimore Orioles

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Predicción 53.77%1.86momio equitativo
EV +0.013%
Ventaja +0.007%
Kelly +0.016%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.98%53.61%53.93%55.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.791.801.8658.82%55.79%55.56%53.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Predicción 46.23%2.16momio equitativo
EV -0.607%
Ventaja -0.282%
Kelly -0.528%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.74%46.39%46.07%48.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.932.042.052.1551.81%49.03%48.78%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Detroit Tigers (Local): 53.77%; Baltimore Orioles (Visitante): 46.23%. Para Detroit Tigers (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.8598. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.8600, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.013%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV +0.013%E +0.007%K +0.016%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -4.31%E -2.08%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 21:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 02:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:05
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:05
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:05
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:05
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:05
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.14%E -1.17%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -8.47%E -4.28%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.14%E -1.17%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -8.47%E -4.28%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 22:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.14%E -1.17%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -8.47%E -4.28%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 22:05
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.14%E -1.17%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.93%E -4.53%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 22:05
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%EV -2.68%E -1.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%EV -0.607%E -0.282%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-27 22:35
Everygame🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.68%E -1.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.53%E -0.719%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-27 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.68%E -1.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.99%E -0.940%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-27 22:30
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.68%E -1.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.77%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-27 22:35
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.607%E -0.282%K -0.528%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 22:39
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.07%E -0.500%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-27 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.53%E -0.719%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-27 22:40
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-27 22:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-27 22:35
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 21:55
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 21:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.62%E -3.28%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 22:30
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 22:35
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 20:05
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 22:40
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.85%E -5.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 22:29
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.85%E -5.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 22:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.85%E -5.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 22:40
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.85%E -5.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 22:35
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.85%E -5.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -1.99%E -0.940%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-27 21:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 22:35
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 22:35
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 22:35
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 22:30
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 22:35
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 22:35
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -10.78%E -5.58%K -11.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 22:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 21:40
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 21:39
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 21:54
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 22:35
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:35
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 21:55
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 21:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.36%E -3.05%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.77%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 22:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.36%E -3.05%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.36%E -3.05%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 22:35
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 22:05
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 22:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 22:05
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.44%E -3.70%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.44%E -3.70%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 22:35
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.98%E -4.03%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 22:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.59%E -5.05%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 22:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%0.1%2026-07-27 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-27 22:05
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-07-27 22:30
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-07-27 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-07-27 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-07-27 22:35
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-27 21:45
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-27 22:35
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-07-27 22:30
BetOpenly1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%3.1%2026-07-27 22:35