Language:English
Cleveland Guardians v Washington Nationals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 60.31%1.66fair odd
EV -0.492%
Edge -0.298%
Kelly -0.757%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%60.09%60.15%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.571.6566.67%63.42%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Nationals (Visit)
Prediction 39.69%2.52fair odd
EV +1.22%
Edge +0.477%
Kelly +0.784%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.91%39.85%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.432.452.5545.45%41.14%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 60.31%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 39.69%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.22%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.92%E -3.79%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +1.22%E +0.477%K +0.784%G +0.010% | 3.3% | 2026-05-25 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -5.92%E -3.79%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV +0.024%E +0.010%K +0.016%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-25 22:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.90%E -1.80%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -0.373%E -0.148%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-25 21:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.51%E -2.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -0.373%E -0.148%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-25 22:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -7.73%E -5.05%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -0.373%E -0.148%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 22:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.770%E -0.308%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-25 19:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.92%E -3.79%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.770%E -0.308%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 23:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.770%E -0.308%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 21:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.770%E -0.308%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 21:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.770%E -0.308%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.770%E -0.308%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 21:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.770%E -0.308%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.770%E -0.308%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.770%E -0.308%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 21:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.770%E -0.308%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 21:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.770%E -0.308%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 21:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.770%E -0.308%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.54%E -6.36%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.770%E -0.308%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 21:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.13%E -4.63%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.56%E -0.630%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.13%E -4.63%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.56%E -0.630%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.13%E -4.63%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.56%E -0.630%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.13%E -4.63%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.56%E -0.630%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.30%E -1.42%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -2.36%E -0.958%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-25 22:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.30%E -1.42%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -2.36%E -0.958%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-25 22:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.30%E -1.42%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -2.36%E -0.958%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-25 22:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -1.70%E -1.04%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-25 22:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.90%E -1.80%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-25 22:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.11%E -2.59%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-25 22:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 18:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.92%E -3.79%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.92%E -3.79%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 22:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.73%E -5.05%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.73%E -5.05%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.73%E -5.05%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.92%E -3.79%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.55%E -1.46%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 21:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.11%E -2.59%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.94%E -1.63%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 22:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -1.70%E -1.04%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -4.34%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-25 22:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.30%E -1.42%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-25 22:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.90%E -1.80%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-25 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.51%E -2.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 22:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.51%E -2.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 22:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.11%E -2.59%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 22:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.11%E -2.59%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.11%E -2.59%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 22:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.71%E -2.98%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 22:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.71%E -2.98%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 22:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 21:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 19:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -2.90%E -1.80%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -5.14%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-25 22:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -4.11%E -2.59%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -5.14%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 22:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.53%E -2.32%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 20:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.51%E -2.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 22:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.71%E -2.98%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 22:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.90%E -1.80%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.52%E -3.23%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 22:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.90%E -1.80%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.52%E -3.23%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 22:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -0.492%E -0.298%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -8.71%E -3.79%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 22:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.30%E -1.42%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.69%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 22:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.30%E -1.42%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.69%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.30%E -1.42%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.68%E -5.76%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 22:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.51%E -2.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.68%E -5.76%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 22:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-05-25 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-05-25 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-05-25 22:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-25 22:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-05-25 22:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.3% | 2026-05-25 22:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 2.0% | 2026-05-25 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 2.5% | 2026-05-25 22:10 |