L’École des cotes

Cleveland Guardians v Washington Nationals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-25 22:11 UTC

Score final : Cleveland Guardians 2–10 Washington Nationals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prévision 60.31%1.66cote équitable
EV -0.492%
Avantage -0.298%
Kelly -0.757%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.59%60.09%60.15%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.581.571.6566.67%63.42%63.69%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Nationals (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.69%2.52cote équitable
EV +1.22%
Avantage +0.477%
Kelly +0.784%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.50%39.91%39.85%42.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.432.452.5545.45%41.14%40.82%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.92%E -3.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +1.22%E +0.477%K +0.784%G +0.010%3.3%2026-05-25 21:50
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -5.92%E -3.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV +0.024%E +0.010%K +0.016%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-25 22:10
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.90%E -1.80%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -0.373%E -0.148%K -0.247%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-25 21:50
BetAnything1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.51%E -2.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -0.373%E -0.148%K -0.247%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-25 22:09
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -7.73%E -5.05%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -0.373%E -0.148%K -0.247%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 22:10
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.770%E -0.308%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-25 19:40
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.92%E -3.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.770%E -0.308%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 23:29
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.770%E -0.308%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 21:50
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.770%E -0.308%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 21:50
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.770%E -0.308%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 21:50
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.770%E -0.308%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 21:50
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.770%E -0.308%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.770%E -0.308%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 21:50
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.770%E -0.308%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 21:50
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.770%E -0.308%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 21:49
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.770%E -0.308%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 21:49
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.770%E -0.308%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 21:50
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.54%E -6.36%K -19.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.770%E -0.308%K -0.513%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 21:59
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.13%E -4.63%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.56%E -0.630%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 21:50
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.13%E -4.63%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.56%E -0.630%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 21:50
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.13%E -4.63%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.56%E -0.630%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 21:50
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.13%E -4.63%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.56%E -0.630%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 21:50
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.30%E -1.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -2.36%E -0.958%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-25 22:10
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.30%E -1.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -2.36%E -0.958%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-25 22:10
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.30%E -1.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -2.36%E -0.958%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-25 22:09
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -1.70%E -1.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-25 22:09
Everygame1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.90%E -1.80%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-25 22:09
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.11%E -2.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-25 22:09
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 18:40
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.92%E -3.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:50
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.92%E -3.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 22:09
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:50
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.73%E -5.05%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 18:50
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.73%E -5.05%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.73%E -5.05%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 18:50
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.92%E -3.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.55%E -1.46%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 21:50
MyBookie.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.11%E -2.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.94%E -1.63%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 22:09
BetUS1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -1.70%E -1.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -4.34%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-25 22:09
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.30%E -1.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-25 22:09
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.90%E -1.80%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-25 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.51%E -2.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 22:10
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.51%E -2.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 22:10
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.11%E -2.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 22:09
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.11%E -2.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 22:00
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.11%E -2.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 22:10
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.71%E -2.98%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 22:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.71%E -2.98%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 22:09
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 21:59
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 19:39
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -2.90%E -1.80%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -5.14%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 22:09
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -4.11%E -2.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -5.14%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 22:10
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.53%E -2.32%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 20:50
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.51%E -2.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 22:09
Dabble (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.71%E -2.98%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 22:09
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.90%E -1.80%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.52%E -3.23%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 22:09
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.90%E -1.80%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.52%E -3.23%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 22:09
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -0.492%E -0.298%K -0.757%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -8.71%E -3.79%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 22:10
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.30%E -1.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.69%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 22:10
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.30%E -1.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.69%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 22:10
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.30%E -1.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.68%E -5.76%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 22:10
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.51%E -2.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.68%E -5.76%K -10.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 22:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-25 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-25 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-25 22:10
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-05-25 22:10
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-05-25 22:09
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-24 23:30
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-25 15:00
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-05-25 22:10
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-05-25 22:10
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-05-25 22:10