The School of Odds
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Cleveland Guardians v Tampa Bay Rays

2026-10-18 21:10 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prediction 45.76%2.19fair odd
EV +1.59%
Edge +0.717%
Kelly +1.31%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.22%45.77%45.75%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.062.052.2253.19%48.50%48.78%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)

Prediction 54.24%1.84fair odd
EV +0.340%
Edge +0.184%
Kelly +0.399%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%54.23%54.25%55.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.761.761.8561.73%56.81%56.82%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 45.76%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 54.24%. For Cleveland Guardians (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.22, producing a positive expected value of +1.59%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV +1.59%E +0.717%K +1.31%G +0.021%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.9%2026-10-18 07:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +0.677%E +0.308%K +0.564%G +0.004%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-18 07:20
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +0.677%E +0.308%K +0.564%G +0.004%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-18 07:20
Everygame🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.238%E -0.109%K -0.202%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.46%E -1.94%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-18 07:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.238%E -0.109%K -0.202%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-18 07:40
DraftKings🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -2.53%E -1.19%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-18 07:34
Caesars🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -2.53%E -1.19%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-18 07:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.44%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-18 06:49
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 03:35
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 06:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 06:25
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-18 05:53
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 06:44
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 06:43
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 06:44
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 04:39
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 06:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 06:39
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -4.36%E -2.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV +0.340%E +0.184%K +0.399%G +0.001%1.9%2026-10-18 03:45
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 06:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-18 06:45
Dabble (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-18 06:30
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-18 06:34
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 06:25
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 06:25
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -5.73%E -2.78%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-18 03:20
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.73%E -2.78%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 06:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.73%E -2.78%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 06:43
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 07:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 07:15
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 07:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 07:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 04:05
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 03:20
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 06:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 06:45
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 03:55
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 06:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 03:25
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 06:24
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 06:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.64%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -2.91%E -1.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 07:15
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.64%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -2.91%E -1.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 07:15
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.64%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -2.91%E -1.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 07:15
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.64%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -2.91%E -1.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 07:15
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.64%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -2.91%E -1.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 07:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.64%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -2.91%E -1.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 07:14
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.64%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.46%E -1.94%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-18 07:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.56%E -3.74%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.91%E -1.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 03:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.745%E -0.407%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-18 03:25
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 03:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 07:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 07:15
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-18 06:24
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-18 06:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-18 06:24
picklebet_au🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-18 06:45
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.39%E -4.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -8.88%E -5.29%K -13.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-18 06:45
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -10.31%E -5.26%K -10.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-18 07:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.07%EV -12.14%E -6.32%K -13.19%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 53.93%EV -11.05%E -6.74%K -17.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-18 06:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.29%EV -13.97%E -7.43%K -15.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.71%EV -12.14%E -7.49%K -19.57%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-18 06:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.69%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.31%-0.1%2026-10-18 07:40
ProphetX◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-10-18 07:40
Novig◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-10-18 07:30
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-10-18 04:45
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-10-18 03:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-10-18 07:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-10-18 07:15
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.3%2026-10-18 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%2.7%2026-10-18 07:15
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 45.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.08%9.4%2026-10-18 07:20
Arbitrage (6 combinations) +0.91%GTbets 2.22 (45.5%) / 1xBet 1.85 (54.5%)Show all 6 combinations
Cleveland Guardians (Local)Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)Margin
GTbets🎯 2.22 (45.5%)1xBet🎯 1.85 (54.5%)+0.909%
BetOnline.ag🎯 2.20 (45.7%)1xBet🎯 1.85 (54.3%)+0.494%
BetUS🎯 2.20 (45.7%)1xBet🎯 1.85 (54.3%)+0.494%
GTbets🎯 2.22 (45.2%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 1.83 (54.8%)+0.311%
Everygame🎯 2.18 (45.9%)1xBet🎯 1.85 (54.1%)+0.074%
LowVig.ag🎯 2.18 (45.9%)1xBet🎯 1.85 (54.1%)+0.074%