Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians v Tampa Bay Rays

2026-10-18 21:10 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Predicción 45.76%2.19momio equitativo
EV +0.677%
Ventaja +0.308%
Kelly +0.564%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.58%45.79%45.75%47.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.882.062.052.2053.19%48.51%48.78%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante)

Predicción 54.24%1.84momio equitativo
EV +0.340%
Ventaja +0.184%
Kelly +0.399%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.22%54.21%54.25%55.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.761.771.8561.73%56.80%56.50%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 45.76%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante): 54.24%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.19. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.20, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.677%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.677%E +0.308%K +0.564%G +0.004%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.0%2026-10-18 07:45
Everygame🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.238%E -0.109%K -0.202%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.46%E -1.94%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-18 07:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.238%E -0.109%K -0.202%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-18 07:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.238%E -0.109%K -0.202%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-18 07:40
BetUS🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.238%E -0.109%K -0.202%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-18 07:44
DraftKings🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -2.53%E -1.19%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-18 07:34
Caesars🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -2.53%E -1.19%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-18 07:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.44%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-18 06:49
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 03:35
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 06:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 06:25
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 08:00
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-18 05:53
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 06:44
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 06:43
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 06:44
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 04:39
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 06:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 06:39
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -4.36%E -2.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV +0.340%E +0.184%K +0.399%G +0.001%1.9%2026-10-18 03:45
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 06:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-18 06:45
Dabble (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-18 06:30
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-18 06:34
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 06:25
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 06:25
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -5.73%E -2.78%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-18 03:20
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.73%E -2.78%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 06:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.73%E -2.78%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 06:43
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 07:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 07:15
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 07:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 07:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 04:05
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 03:20
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 06:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 06:45
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 03:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 03:25
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 06:24
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 06:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.64%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -2.91%E -1.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 07:15
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.64%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -2.91%E -1.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 07:15
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.64%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -2.91%E -1.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 07:15
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.64%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -2.91%E -1.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 07:15
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.64%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -2.91%E -1.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 07:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.64%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -2.91%E -1.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 07:14
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.64%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.46%E -1.94%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-18 07:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.56%E -3.74%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.91%E -1.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 03:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.745%E -0.407%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-18 03:25
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 03:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 07:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 07:15
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-18 06:24
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-18 06:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-18 06:24
picklebet_au🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-18 06:45
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.39%E -4.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -8.88%E -5.29%K -13.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-18 06:45
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -10.31%E -5.26%K -10.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-18 07:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.07%EV -12.14%E -6.32%K -13.19%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 53.93%EV -11.05%E -6.74%K -17.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-18 06:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.29%EV -13.97%E -7.43%K -15.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.71%EV -12.14%E -7.49%K -19.57%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-18 06:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%-0.0%2026-10-18 07:49
ProphetX◎2.19I 45.66%NM 45.39%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%0.6%2026-10-18 07:50
Novig◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-10-18 07:30
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-10-18 04:45
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-10-18 03:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%1.1%2026-10-18 07:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%1.1%2026-10-18 07:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.3%2026-10-18 07:55
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.3%2026-10-18 07:25
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 45.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.08%9.4%2026-10-18 07:20
Arbitraje (5 combinaciones) +0.49%GTbets 2.20 (45.7%) / 1xBet 1.85 (54.3%)Ver las 5 combinaciones
Cleveland Guardians (Local)Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante)Margen
GTbets🎯 2.20 (45.7%)1xBet🎯 1.85 (54.3%)+0.494%
Everygame🎯 2.18 (45.9%)1xBet🎯 1.85 (54.1%)+0.074%
BetOnline.ag🎯 2.18 (45.9%)1xBet🎯 1.85 (54.1%)+0.074%
LowVig.ag🎯 2.18 (45.9%)1xBet🎯 1.85 (54.1%)+0.074%
BetUS🎯 2.18 (45.9%)1xBet🎯 1.85 (54.1%)+0.074%