The School of Odds
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Cleveland Guardians v Tampa Bay Rays

2026-10-15 17:00 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prediction 54.34%1.84fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%54.37%54.26%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.741.751.8062.11%57.38%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)

Prediction 45.66%2.19fair odd
EV -0.470%
Edge -0.216%
Kelly -0.399%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%45.63%45.74%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.092.102.1852.91%47.91%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 54.34%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 45.66%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.18, with an expected value of -0.470%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-14 16:19
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.72%E -1.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.38%E -0.641%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.2%2026-10-14 20:30
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.27%E -1.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.470%E -0.216%K -0.399%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-14 17:30
Everygame🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.27%E -1.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.470%E -0.216%K -0.399%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-14 16:14
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.27%E -1.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.927%E -0.427%K -0.792%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-14 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.27%E -1.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.38%E -0.641%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-14 17:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.27%E -1.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.38%E -0.641%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-14 17:30
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.67%E -1.74%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-14 16:09
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-14 16:10
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-14 16:19
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-14 16:10
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-14 16:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-14 16:24
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.41%E -3.12%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-14 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.41%E -3.12%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-14 18:20
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.69%E -4.34%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-14 19:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.21%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-14 19:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.21%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 16:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.21%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 16:09
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.21%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 16:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.21%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 16:09
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 16:09
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 16:20
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 18:19
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 16:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 16:19
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-14 16:09
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -2.75%E -1.29%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-14 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.21%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-14 16:09
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.21%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-14 16:10
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.21%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-14 16:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.21%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-14 16:10
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.21%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-14 16:10
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.21%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-14 16:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 16:45
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 18:18
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.95%E -2.89%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-14 16:18
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.41%E -3.12%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-14 17:05
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-14 16:08
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-14 16:10
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-14 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-14 16:44
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.41%E -3.12%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-14 16:44
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.69%E -4.34%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 16:20
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.69%E -4.34%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 16:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.53%E -3.80%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.69%E -4.34%K -8.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-14 16:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -7.07%E -4.14%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-14 16:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -7.07%E -4.14%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-14 16:10
picklebet_au🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.61%E -4.48%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.69%E -4.34%K -8.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-14 17:05
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -8.70%E -5.18%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -6.86%E -3.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-14 16:09
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -8.70%E -5.18%K -12.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.60%E -4.85%K -9.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-14 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.98%EV -11.96%E -7.38%K -19.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.02%EV -13.25%E -6.98%K -14.73%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-14 16:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.00%EV -12.51%E -7.77%K -20.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.00%EV -13.71%E -7.25%K -15.41%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-14 17:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-10-14 19:50
ProphetX◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-10-14 20:10
Novig◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-10-14 17:40
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-10-14 19:50
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-10-14 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-10-14 20:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-10-14 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-10-14 20:15
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-10-14 18:04
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%10.7%2026-10-14 18:05