Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians v Tampa Bay Rays

2026-10-15 17:00 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Predicción 54.33%1.84momio equitativo
EV -2.20%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -2.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.05%54.36%54.26%55.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.611.741.751.8062.11%57.34%57.14%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante)

Predicción 45.67%2.19momio equitativo
EV +0.010%
Ventaja +0.005%
Kelly +0.009%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.73%45.64%45.74%46.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.892.092.102.1952.91%47.91%47.62%45.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 54.33%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante): 45.67%. Para Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.1898. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.1900, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.010%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Everygame🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -3.29%E -1.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV +0.010%E +0.005%K +0.009%G +0.000%1.8%2026-10-14 20:37
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.29%E -1.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.446%E -0.205%K -0.378%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-14 17:30
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.29%E -1.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.903%E -0.416%K -0.772%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-14 16:20
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.74%E -1.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.36%E -0.629%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.2%2026-10-14 20:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.29%E -1.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.36%E -0.629%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-14 17:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.29%E -1.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.36%E -0.629%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-14 17:30
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.82%E -0.845%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-14 21:00
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.82%E -0.845%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-14 16:09
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -2.73%E -1.28%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-14 16:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.19%E -1.50%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 16:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.19%E -1.50%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 16:09
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.19%E -1.50%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 16:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.19%E -1.50%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.19%E -1.50%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-14 16:09
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.19%E -1.50%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-14 16:10
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.19%E -1.50%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-14 16:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.19%E -1.50%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-14 16:10
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.19%E -1.50%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-14 16:10
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.19%E -1.50%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-14 16:09
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -3.83%E -2.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-14 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.20%E -1.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-14 16:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.29%E -1.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-14 21:13
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.83%E -2.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-14 16:10
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.83%E -2.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-14 16:19
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.83%E -2.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-14 16:10
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.83%E -2.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-14 16:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.83%E -2.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-14 16:24
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 16:09
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 16:20
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 18:19
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 18:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 16:45
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 18:18
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-14 16:08
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-14 16:10
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-14 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-14 16:44
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-14 20:55
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.01%E -2.41%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 16:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.01%E -2.41%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 16:19
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.01%E -2.41%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 21:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -7.09%E -4.15%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.01%E -2.41%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-14 16:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -7.09%E -4.15%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.01%E -2.41%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-14 16:10
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.37%E -2.49%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.47%E -2.64%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 20:58
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.37%E -2.49%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.47%E -2.64%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 20:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.93%E -2.88%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-14 16:18
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.83%E -2.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-14 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.83%E -2.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-14 18:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.83%E -2.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-14 20:54
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-14 17:05
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-14 16:44
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -8.72%E -5.19%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -6.84%E -3.35%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-14 16:09
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.83%E -2.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-14 19:09
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 16:20
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 16:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.55%E -3.81%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-14 16:19
picklebet_au🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.63%E -4.49%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-14 17:05
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -8.72%E -5.19%K -12.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.58%E -4.84%K -9.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-14 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.98%EV -11.98%E -7.40%K -19.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.02%EV -13.23%E -6.96%K -14.70%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-14 16:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.00%EV -12.52%E -7.78%K -20.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.00%EV -13.69%E -7.24%K -15.38%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-14 17:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-10-14 19:50
ProphetX◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-10-14 21:10
Novig◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-10-14 17:40
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-10-14 19:50
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-10-14 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-10-14 20:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-10-14 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-10-14 20:15
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-10-14 18:04
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%10.7%2026-10-14 18:05