Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.37
assuming max odds 1.73
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 42.14%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 57.86%. For Seattle Mariners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.728. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.730, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.103%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -4.77%E -2.11%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV +0.103%E +0.060%K +0.141%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-27 16:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -8.14%E -3.73%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV +0.103%E +0.060%K +0.141%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-27 23:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.82%E -0.781%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.21%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-27 23:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.21%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-26 18:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.21%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-26 19:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.41%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.21%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-27 23:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.82%E -0.781%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-27 23:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-27 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -11.51%E -5.48%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-27 23:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.135%E -0.057%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-27 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.978%E -0.416%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-27 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.978%E -0.416%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-27 23:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.978%E -0.416%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-27 23:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-27 23:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-27 20:18 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 02:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.93%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.95%E -2.38%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-27 23:08 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.978%E -0.416%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-27 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-27 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-27 23:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-27 23:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-27 23:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-27 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-27 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.93%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-27 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.77%E -2.11%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-27 23:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 22:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 20:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 20:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 20:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 23:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 23:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 21:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 23:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 23:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.61%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-27 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.24%E -0.966%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -5.10%E -3.11%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-27 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.24%E -0.966%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -5.10%E -3.11%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-27 23:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.77%E -2.11%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.10%E -3.11%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-27 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.10%E -3.11%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 23:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.10%E -3.11%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 20:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.68%E -3.49%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-27 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.68%E -3.49%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-27 23:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.68%E -3.49%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-27 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.68%E -3.49%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-27 23:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.68%E -3.49%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-27 23:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.68%E -3.49%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-27 23:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.68%E -3.49%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-27 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.68%E -3.49%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-27 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.35%E -1.92%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.68%E -3.49%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 22:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.35%E -1.92%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.68%E -3.49%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.68%E -3.49%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-27 23:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-27 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-27 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-27 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-27 22:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -8.14%E -3.73%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-27 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-27 20:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-27 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-27 22:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39% | 0.1% | 2026-06-27 23:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-06-27 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 1.0% | 2026-06-27 23:08 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-06-27 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-06-27 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-06-27 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-06-27 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-06-27 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57% | 1.6% | 2026-06-27 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64% | 2.6% | 2026-06-27 23:10 |