L’École des cotes

Cleveland Guardians v Seattle Mariners

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-27 23:11 UTC

Score final : Cleveland Guardians 4–3 Seattle Mariners

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prévision 42.14%2.37cote équitable
EV -0.135%
Avantage -0.057%
Kelly -0.099%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.03%42.36%42.19%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.282.292.3747.62%43.94%43.76%42.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Mariners (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.86%1.73cote équitable
EV +0.103%
Avantage +0.060%
Kelly +0.141%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.56%57.64%57.81%58.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.651.651.7362.50%60.62%60.61%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -4.77%E -2.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV +0.103%E +0.060%K +0.141%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-27 16:39
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -8.14%E -3.73%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV +0.103%E +0.060%K +0.141%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-27 23:10
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.82%E -0.781%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.21%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-27 23:09
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.21%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-26 18:39
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.21%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-26 19:29
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.41%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.21%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-27 23:09
BetUS2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.82%E -0.781%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-27 23:09
BetAnything2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-27 23:10
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -11.51%E -5.48%K -10.47%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 23:10
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.135%E -0.057%K -0.099%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-27 23:10
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.978%E -0.416%K -0.724%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-27 23:09
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.978%E -0.416%K -0.724%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-27 23:10
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.978%E -0.416%K -0.724%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-27 23:09
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-27 23:09
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-27 20:18
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 02:09
MyBookie.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.93%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.95%E -2.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 23:08
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.978%E -0.416%K -0.724%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-27 23:10
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 17:00
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 23:09
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 23:09
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 23:09
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 22:59
DraftKings2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 23:10
Bovada2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.93%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-27 22:59
Bet Right2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.77%E -2.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-27 23:09
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 22:39
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 20:19
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 20:19
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 20:19
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 23:09
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 23:09
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 21:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 23:09
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 23:09
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 22:39
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.61%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 23:09
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.24%E -0.966%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -5.10%E -3.11%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 23:10
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.24%E -0.966%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -5.10%E -3.11%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 23:09
SportsBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.77%E -2.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.10%E -3.11%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 17:00
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.10%E -3.11%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 23:09
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.10%E -3.11%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 20:19
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.68%E -3.49%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 23:10
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.68%E -3.49%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.68%E -3.49%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 23:10
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.68%E -3.49%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 23:10
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.68%E -3.49%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 23:09
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.68%E -3.49%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 23:09
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.68%E -3.49%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 23:10
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.68%E -3.49%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 23:10
NordicBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.35%E -1.92%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.68%E -3.49%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 22:59
Betsson2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.35%E -1.92%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.68%E -3.49%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 22:59
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.68%E -3.49%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 23:09
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 22:59
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 23:00
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 23:00
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 22:59
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -8.14%E -3.73%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 23:09
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 20:29
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 20:50
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 22:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%0.1%2026-06-27 23:09
ProphetX2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-06-27 23:10
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%1.0%2026-06-27 23:08
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-06-27 23:10
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-06-27 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-06-27 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-06-27 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-06-27 23:10
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%1.6%2026-06-27 23:10
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%2.6%2026-06-27 23:10