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Cleveland Guardians v San Diego Padres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 48.90%2.04fair odd
EV -0.733%
Edge -0.361%
Kelly -0.712%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.64%48.86%48.90%49.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.951.952.0353.48%51.15%51.28%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Diego Padres (Visit)
Prediction 51.10%1.96fair odd
EV -0.355%
Edge -0.182%
Kelly -0.373%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.26%51.14%51.10%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.871.871.9555.25%53.34%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 48.90%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 51.10%. For San Diego Padres (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.95, with an expected value of -0.355%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -0.733%E -0.361%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -2.91%E -1.53%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.22%E -0.605%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.42%E -1.81%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 20:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -1.22%E -0.605%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.44%E -2.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 20:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.71%E -0.851%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.91%E -1.53%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-15 18:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.40%E -1.26%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.40%E -1.26%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 07:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.40%E -1.26%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 07:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.40%E -1.26%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 07:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.40%E -1.26%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-15 22:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.49%E -3.54%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.00%E -3.84%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 20:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -2.69%E -1.35%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.98%E -3.25%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 20:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.67%E -1.86%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -0.355%E -0.182%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 15:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.40%E -1.26%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.40%E -1.26%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.91%E -1.53%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 01:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 12:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 23:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 12:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.95%E -2.66%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 23:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.13%E -2.65%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.13%E -2.65%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 19:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.13%E -2.65%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.44%E -2.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 12:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.13%E -2.65%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.44%E -2.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 23:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.13%E -2.65%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.44%E -2.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 23:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.62%E -2.91%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 19:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.62%E -2.91%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 19:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.62%E -2.91%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 19:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.62%E -2.91%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.62%E -2.91%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 19:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.62%E -2.91%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.62%E -2.91%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.44%E -2.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -4.95%E -2.66%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -4.95%E -2.66%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 19:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.49%E -3.54%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -8.56%E -4.58%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -7.51%E -4.15%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |