默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cleveland Guardians v San Diego Padres

开赛时间: 2026-08-16 20:51 UTC

最终结果: Cleveland Guardians 0–5 San Diego Padres

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

41 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cleveland Guardians (主队)

预测 48.90%2.04公平赔率
EV -0.733%
优势 -0.361%
Kelly -0.712%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.03

博彩公司预测分布
47.64%48.86%48.90%49.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.871.951.952.0353.48%51.15%51.28%49.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

San Diego Padres (客队)

预测 51.10%1.96公平赔率
EV -0.355%
优势 -0.182%
Kelly -0.373%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.95

博彩公司预测分布
50.26%51.14%51.10%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.811.871.871.9555.25%53.34%53.48%51.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Cleveland Guardians (主队):48.90%;San Diego Padres (客队):51.10%。 对于“San Diego Padres (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.96。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.95,期望值为-0.355%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (41 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -0.733%E -0.361%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -2.91%E -1.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-16 19:10
BetUS🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.22%E -0.605%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.42%E -1.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 20:15
BetAnything🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -1.22%E -0.605%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.44%E -2.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 20:20
Caesars🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.71%E -0.851%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.91%E -1.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 18:29
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.40%E -1.26%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 13:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.40%E -1.26%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 07:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.40%E -1.26%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 07:20
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.40%E -1.26%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 07:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.40%E -1.26%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 22:59
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.49%E -3.54%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 20:49
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.00%E -3.84%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 20:24
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -2.69%E -1.35%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.98%E -3.25%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 20:15
DraftKings🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.67%E -1.86%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -0.355%E -0.182%K -0.373%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-16 15:10
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.40%E -1.26%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 19:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.40%E -1.26%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 19:25
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.91%E -1.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 01:54
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 12:54
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 23:44
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 12:54
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.95%E -2.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 13:40
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 23:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.13%E -2.65%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 19:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.13%E -2.65%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 19:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.13%E -2.65%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.44%E -2.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 12:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.13%E -2.65%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.44%E -2.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 23:44
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.13%E -2.65%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.44%E -2.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 23:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.62%E -2.91%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 19:24
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.62%E -2.91%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 19:24
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.62%E -2.91%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 19:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.62%E -2.91%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 19:25
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.62%E -2.91%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 19:24
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.62%E -2.91%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 19:25
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.62%E -2.91%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.44%E -2.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -4.95%E -2.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 19:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -4.95%E -2.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 19:24
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 18:29
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.49%E -3.54%K -7.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 15:14
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -8.56%E -4.58%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -7.51%E -4.15%K -9.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 19:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-16 20:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-16 20:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-16 20:45