La scuola delle quote

Cleveland Guardians v Pittsburgh Pirates

Inizio: 2026-07-18 20:11 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Casa)

Previsione 47.81%2.09quota equa
EV -1.98%
Vantaggio -0.968%
Kelly -1.89%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.37%47.88%47.80%49.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.911.992.002.0552.36%50.29%50.00%48.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pittsburgh Pirates (Trasferta)

Previsione 52.19%1.92quota equa
EV -1.37%
Vantaggio -0.723%
Kelly -1.54%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.89

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.53%52.12%52.20%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.761.821.831.8956.82%54.81%54.64%52.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.98%E -0.968%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.41%E -1.29%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-17 20:39
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.46%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.37%E -0.723%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-17 20:34
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.46%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.41%E -1.29%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-17 18:59
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.46%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.41%E -1.29%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-17 18:59
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.42%E -1.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 20:19
MyBookie.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.90%E -1.94%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.45%E -1.87%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-17 20:34
Bovada2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.90%E -1.94%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 20:34
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 18:59
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 20:24
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 20:29
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 18:59
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 20:29
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.37%E -2.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.06%E -3.37%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 20:19
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.37%E -2.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.06%E -3.37%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 20:19
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.37%E -2.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.06%E -3.37%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 18:59
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.37%E -2.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.06%E -3.37%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.37%E -2.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.06%E -3.37%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 18:59
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.37%E -2.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.06%E -3.37%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 20:14
Betr (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.85%E -2.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.02%E -2.76%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 20:24
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 20:29
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 18:59
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.02%E -2.76%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-17 20:29
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.81%E -2.95%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.54%E -3.06%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 20:29
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.41%E -1.29%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 18:59
betano_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.06%E -3.37%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 20:28
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.06%E -3.37%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 20:29
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.06%E -3.37%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 20:29
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -8.15%E -4.63%K -10.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 20:29
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.41%E -1.29%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 19:19
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.04%EV -8.15%E -4.63%K -10.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 20:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-17 19:14
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-17 18:59
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-07-17 20:09
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%10.1%2026-07-17 20:29