The School of Odds

Cleveland Guardians v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-07-18 23:10 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prediction 49.09%2.04fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.657%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%48.99%49.09%50.52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.861.941.942.0154%52%52%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 50.91%1.96fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.908%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.48%51.01%50.91%52.22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.811.871.871.9355%54%53%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.32%E -0.657%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.28%E -1.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-18 04:10
BetOnline.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.32%E -0.657%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.28%E -1.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-18 04:10
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.32%E -0.657%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.28%E -1.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-18 04:10
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.81%E -0.906%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 02:00
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.30%E -1.16%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.75%E -0.908%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 03:35
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.78%E -1.93%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.32%E -2.86%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 03:30
Betr (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.78%E -1.93%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 03:30
MyBookie.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.79%E -2.00%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-18 02:13
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.30%E -2.29%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 04:25
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.30%E -2.29%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 04:25
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.30%E -2.29%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 04:25
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.30%E -2.29%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 04:25
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 04:10
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 02:15
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 02:10
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 04:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 04:10
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 04:10
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 03:55
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.76%E -2.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 04:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.76%E -2.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 04:10
Betsson1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.76%E -2.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 04:10
NordicBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.76%E -2.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 04:10
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.76%E -2.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 04:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.76%E -2.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 04:25
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.76%E -2.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 04:25
Bally Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.76%E -2.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 04:25
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.76%E -2.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 04:25
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.76%E -2.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 04:25
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.76%E -2.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.32%E -2.86%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 04:25
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.76%E -2.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.32%E -2.86%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 04:25
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.25%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.79%E -2.00%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 02:10
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.25%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.30%E -2.29%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 02:10
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.25%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 03:30
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.25%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 04:25
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.74%E -2.99%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.32%E -2.86%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 02:10
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.74%E -2.99%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.32%E -2.86%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 02:15
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.77%E -1.45%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 03:20
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 02:10
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 03:30
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 02:10
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 03:30
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 03:30
betano_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 02:08
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 04:25
BetAnything1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.21%E -3.82%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.75%E -0.908%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 03:05
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.46%EV -8.68%E -4.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -7.35%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 02:10
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.32%EV -8.68%E -4.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.68%EV -7.86%E -4.34%K -9.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 02:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%0.0%2026-07-18 02:20
BetOpenly2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77%1.1%2026-07-18 04:10
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%2.6%2026-07-18 04:40
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.7%2026-07-18 04:15
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 49.31%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.69%10.2%2026-07-18 02:10