Language:English
Cleveland Guardians v Pittsburgh Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 50.17%1.99fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.846%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%50.23%50.00%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.901.911.9654.95%52.71%52.36%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 49.83%2.01fair odd
EV -0.846%
Edge -0.425%
Kelly -0.855%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%49.77%50.00%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.911.911.9955.56%52.26%52.36%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 50.17%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 49.83%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.99, with an expected value of -0.846%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.66%E -0.846%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.34%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-19 00:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.16%E -1.64%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.33%E -2.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.16%E -1.64%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.33%E -2.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.16%E -1.64%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.33%E -2.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.16%E -1.64%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.33%E -2.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.16%E -1.64%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-19 00:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.67%E -1.91%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.846%E -0.425%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-18 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.67%E -1.91%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.846%E -0.425%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-18 23:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.67%E -1.91%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.846%E -0.425%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-18 23:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.67%E -1.91%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.846%E -0.425%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-18 23:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.67%E -1.91%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.33%E -2.81%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 23:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 23:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 23:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-19 00:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 15:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.33%E -2.81%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.33%E -2.81%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.83%E -3.08%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.83%E -3.65%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 23:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.81%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.81%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 23:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -4.67%E -2.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -6.33%E -3.37%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-19 00:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -5.17%E -2.74%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.34%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-18 15:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.67%E -3.02%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.34%E -1.72%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 20:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.67%E -3.02%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.84%E -1.99%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 20:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.67%E -3.02%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.33%E -2.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 22:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.67%E -3.02%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.82%E -4.23%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-19 00:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.17%E -3.30%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.84%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 20:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.17%E -3.30%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.84%E -1.99%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 20:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.30%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.83%E -3.65%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.30%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.83%E -3.65%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 20:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.18%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-18 20:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.18%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-18 20:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.18%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-18 20:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.18%E -4.47%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 23:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -8.68%E -4.77%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -6.33%E -3.37%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-18 23:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -8.68%E -4.77%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -10.31%E -5.73%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-19 00:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 0.8% | 2026-07-19 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 0.8% | 2026-07-19 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 0.8% | 2026-07-19 00:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 19:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 23:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13% | 1.8% | 2026-07-19 00:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.86% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.14% | 12.0% | 2026-07-19 00:10 |