La scuola delle quote

Cleveland Guardians v Pittsburgh Pirates

Inizio: 2026-07-19 00:25 UTC

Finale: Cleveland Guardians 5–3 Pittsburgh Pirates

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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44 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Casa)

Previsione 50.17%1.99quota equa
EV -1.66%
Vantaggio -0.846%
Kelly -1.73%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.96

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.47%50.23%50.00%51.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.821.901.911.9654.95%52.71%52.36%51.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pittsburgh Pirates (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.83%2.01quota equa
EV -0.846%
Vantaggio -0.425%
Kelly -0.855%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.99

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.93%49.77%50.00%50.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.911.911.9955.56%52.26%52.36%50.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.66%E -0.846%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.34%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-19 00:10
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.16%E -1.64%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.33%E -2.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 23:35
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.16%E -1.64%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.33%E -2.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 23:35
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.16%E -1.64%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.33%E -2.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 23:35
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.16%E -1.64%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.33%E -2.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 23:35
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.16%E -1.64%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 00:15
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.67%E -1.91%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.846%E -0.425%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.67%E -1.91%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.846%E -0.425%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 23:10
GTbets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.67%E -1.91%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.846%E -0.425%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 23:10
BetUS1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.67%E -1.91%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.846%E -0.425%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 23:09
DraftKings1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.67%E -1.91%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.33%E -2.81%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 23:30
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 23:30
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 23:35
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 23:35
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 23:35
Bally Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 23:35
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 23:34
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 23:35
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 00:15
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 15:29
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.33%E -2.81%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 23:35
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.33%E -2.81%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 23:35
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.83%E -3.08%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 23:35
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.83%E -3.65%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 23:40
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.81%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.81%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 23:30
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -4.67%E -2.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -6.33%E -3.37%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 00:15
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -5.17%E -2.74%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.34%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 15:30
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.67%E -3.02%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.34%E -1.72%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 20:25
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.67%E -3.02%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.84%E -1.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 20:25
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.67%E -3.02%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.33%E -2.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 22:20
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.67%E -3.02%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.82%E -4.23%K -9.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 00:10
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.17%E -3.30%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.84%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 20:24
SportsBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.17%E -3.30%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.84%E -1.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:25
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.30%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.83%E -3.65%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 23:35
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.30%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.83%E -3.65%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 20:45
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.18%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 20:25
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.18%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 20:25
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.18%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 20:25
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.18%E -4.47%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 23:55
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -8.68%E -4.77%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -6.33%E -3.37%K -7.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 23:24
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -8.68%E -4.77%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -10.31%E -5.73%K -12.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-19 00:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-07-19 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-07-19 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-07-19 00:20
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-18 19:45
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-18 23:15
ProphetX1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13%1.8%2026-07-19 00:10
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 49.86%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.14%12.0%2026-07-19 00:10