Language:English
Cleveland Guardians v New York Yankees
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 47.22%2.12fair odd
EV -0.828%
Edge -0.394%
Kelly -0.753%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.05%47.24%47.31%48.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.012.002.1051.55%49.72%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Yankees (Visit)
Prediction 52.78%1.89fair odd
EV -0.783%
Edge -0.416%
Kelly -0.889%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.55%52.76%52.69%53.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.821.811.8857.14%55.02%55.25%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 47.22%; New York Yankees (Visit): 52.78%. For New York Yankees (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.88, with an expected value of -0.783%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -0.828%E -0.394%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -2.89%E -1.57%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-09 22:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.828%E -0.394%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-09 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.24%E -1.08%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-09 22:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.24%E -1.08%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-09 20:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -2.72%E -1.32%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-09 20:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -2.72%E -1.32%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-09 20:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -0.783%E -0.416%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-09 22:08 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.48%E -2.47%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-09 22:38 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-09 22:28 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-09 22:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-09 22:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-09 14:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-09 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-09 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-09 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-09 22:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-09 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.06%E -3.40%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-09 22:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.06%E -3.40%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-09 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.64%E -4.37%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-09 14:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.53%E -3.09%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-09 22:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-09 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-09 20:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.95%E -2.17%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-09 22:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-09 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-09 22:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-09 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.53%E -3.09%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-09 22:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.53%E -3.09%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-09 22:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -0.783%E -0.416%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-09 21:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-09 15:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-09 14:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-09 14:26 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.48%E -2.47%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-09 16:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-09 16:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-09 19:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-09 22:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-09 16:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-09 16:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-09 14:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-09 22:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-09 14:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.06%E -3.40%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-09 22:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.06%E -3.40%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-09 22:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -6.02%E -3.03%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -3.95%E -2.17%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-09 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-09 21:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-09 21:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-09 21:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-09 21:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-09 21:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-09 21:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-09 21:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-09 21:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-09 22:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-09 20:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -2.89%E -1.57%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-09 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -2.89%E -1.57%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-09 21:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.64%E -4.37%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-09 22:37 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.44%E -3.80%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-09 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.44%E -3.80%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-09 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.91%E -4.06%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-09 20:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.91%E -4.06%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-09 22:28 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -8.38%E -4.32%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -3.95%E -2.17%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-09 21:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25% | 0.4% | 2026-06-09 22:39 |
| Novig◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-09 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-09 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-09 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-09 22:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-06-09 17:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-06-09 22:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-06-09 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 1.4% | 2026-06-09 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.1% | 2026-06-09 22:39 |